# Will the copper close price be above $6.89 on Apr 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT

> above $5.33 leads at 88%, runner-up 88% across 19 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed just now.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/coppermon
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:38.286Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-29

## Headline

- Leader: above $5.33 at 88%
- Runner-up: above $5.39 at 88%
- Outcomes: 19 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (19 contracts)
- 24h volume: $115

## Bound contracts (19)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| above $5.33 | 88¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-copper-close-price-be-above-533-usdlbs-on-kalshi-kxcoppermon-26may2917-t5.33 |
| above $5.39 | 88¢ | +3pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-copper-close-price-be-above-539-usdlbs-on-kalshi-kxcoppermon-26may2917-t5.39 |
| above $5.45 | 87¢ | +3pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-copper-close-price-be-above-545-usdlbs-on-kalshi-kxcoppermon-26may2917-t5.45 |
| above $5.21 | 83¢ | −6pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-copper-close-price-be-above-521-usdlbs-on-kalshi-kxcoppermon-26may2917-t5.21 |
| above $5.27 | 83¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-copper-close-price-be-above-527-usdlbs-on-kalshi-kxcoppermon-26may2917-t5.27 |
| above $4.97 | 82¢ | +5pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-copper-close-price-be-above-497-usdlbs-on-kalshi-kxcoppermon-26may2917-t4.97 |
| above $5.81 | 79¢ | ±0 | $95 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-copper-close-price-be-above-581-usdlbs-on-kalshi-kxcoppermon-26may2917-t5.81 |
| above $4.79 | 75¢ | −2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-copper-close-price-be-above-479-usdlbs-on-kalshi-kxcoppermon-26may2917-t4.79 |
| above $4.85 | 74¢ | +4pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-copper-close-price-be-above-485-usdlbs-on-kalshi-kxcoppermon-26may2917-t4.85 |
| above $4.91 | 74¢ | +7pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-copper-close-price-be-above-491-usdlbs-on-kalshi-kxcoppermon-26may2917-t4.91 |
| above $5.03 | 73¢ | +7pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-copper-close-price-be-above-503-usdlbs-on-kalshi-kxcoppermon-26may2917-t5.03 |
| above $5.09 | 72¢ | +12pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-copper-close-price-be-above-509-usdlbs-on-kalshi-kxcoppermon-26may2917-t5.09 |
| above $5.15 | 71¢ | +3pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-copper-close-price-be-above-515-usdlbs-on-kalshi-kxcoppermon-26may2917-t5.15 |
| above $6.59 | 12¢ | −2pp | $2 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-copper-close-price-be-above-659-usdlbs-on-kalshi-kxcoppermon-26may2917-t6.59 |
| above $6.65 | 8¢ | −2pp | $2 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-copper-close-price-be-above-665-usdlbs-on-kalshi-kxcoppermon-26may2917-t6.65 |
| above $6.71 | 5¢ | −2pp | $4 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-copper-close-price-be-above-671-usdlbs-on-kalshi-kxcoppermon-26may2917-t6.71 |
| above $6.77 | 3¢ | −2pp | $4 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-copper-close-price-be-above-677-usdlbs-on-kalshi-kxcoppermon-26may2917-t6.77 |
| above $6.89 | 3¢ | ±0 | $4 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-copper-close-price-be-above-689-usdlbs-on-kalshi-kxcoppermon-26may2917-t6.89 |
| above $6.95 | 3¢ | ±0 | $4 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-copper-close-price-be-above-695-usdlbs-on-kalshi-kxcoppermon-26may2917-t6.95 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | above $5.33 | above $5.39 | above $5.45 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | 63 | 63 | 60 |
| 2026-05-03 | 78 | 73 | 72 |
| 2026-05-06 | 91 | 89 | 88 |
| 2026-05-07 | 90 | 89 | 88 |
| 2026-05-08 | 90 | 92 | 91 |

_5 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-06 · above $4.79 +22pp 70→92¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-06 · above $5.81 +18pp 53→71¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-06 · above $5.39 +16pp 73→89¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-06 · above $5.45 +16pp 72→88¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · above $5.81 +15pp 38→53¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/coppermon
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=coppermon

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.
