# Coritiba FBC vs. SC Internacional

> SC Internacional leads at 36%, runner-up 35% across 3 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 4 h ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/coritiba-fbc-vs-sc-internacional
Updated: 2026-05-09T00:05:15.286Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-09

## Headline

- Leader: SC Internacional at 36%
- Runner-up: Coritiba FBC at 35%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $499

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Internacional | 36¢ | — | $260 | polymarket | /markets/coritiba-fbc-vs-sc-internacional-sc-internacional-polymarket-0x42b0fcedcab3463543b5524a8c2936829d809c8b172e0c924b7227aa989f1b2d |
| Coritiba FBC | 35¢ | — | $36 | polymarket | /markets/coritiba-fbc-vs-sc-internacional-coritiba-fbc-polymarket-0x849dfc15a5d843f322cac6ec9763aed3be094ab408bd3c4534087f3b290e0359 |
| Draw (Coritiba FBC vs. SC Internacional) | 31¢ | — | $203 | polymarket | /markets/coritiba-fbc-vs-sc-internacional-draw-coritiba-fbc-polymarket-0xca08dd21d93ec7825ffe02ce6400a030149cc2ffc31efe3dd134e07e6618091d |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | SC Internacional | Coritiba FBC | Draw (Coritiba FBC vs. SC Internacional) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | — | 35 | 31 |
| 2026-05-07 | 35 | — | — |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Analysis

This 35% probability means traders currently assess Coritiba FBC as a slight underdog against SC Internacional, with roughly one-in-three odds of winning. The market pricing reflects uncertainty typical of Brazilian league matchups, where form, recent results, and head-to-head records create meaningful variation. The primary drivers of this level are each team's current league position, recent win-loss records, and injury status heading into the fixture. The match itself will resolve the uncertainty; the specific date and kickoff time will determine when this contract settles. Significant movement would likely follow confirmed team lineups, major injury announcements, or weather conditions affecting play style. Currently, draw odds at 30% suggest the market sees meaningful probability across multiple outcomes rather than a clear favorite.

### Key factors

- Coritiba's recent league form and position relative to Internacional in the current standings
- Head-to-head historical record and performance differentials in away vs. home matches
- Injury status and squad availability confirmed within 48 hours of kickoff
- Draw probability at 30% indicates competitive balance; Coritiba at 35% reflects marginal underdog status rather than strong consensus
- Match venue (home or away for Coritiba) and historical performance patterns at that location

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/coritiba-fbc-vs-sc-internacional
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=coritiba-fbc-vs-sc-internacional

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