# Strasbourg Alsace vs Nice

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 27% across 7 contracts — refreshed 2 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/coupedefranceadvance
Updated: 2026-05-09T05:50:44.457Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-06-10

## Headline

- Probability: 27% (liquidity-weighted across 7 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (7 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (7)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angers | 33¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/angers-vs-strasbourg-alsace-winner-angers-kalshi-kxligue1game-26may10angrcs-ang |
| Tie | 28¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/angers-vs-strasbourg-alsace-winner-tie-kalshi-kxligue1game-26may10angrcs-tie |
| Both Teams to Score: Both Teams To Score | 54¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/strasbourg-alsace-at-angers-both-teams-to-score-bo-kalshi-kxligue1btts-26may10angrcs |
| Strasbourg Alsace wins by over 1.5 goals | 14¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/strasbourg-alsace-wins-by-over-15-goals-strasbourg-kalshi-kxligue1spread-26may10angrcs-rcs1 |
| Strasbourg Alsace | 22¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-strasbourg-alsace-finish-in-the-top-4-in-the-kalshi-kxligue1top4-26-rcs |
| Totals: Over 4.5 goals scored | 11¢ | +3pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/strasbourg-alsace-at-angers-totals-over-45-goals-s-kalshi-kxligue1total-26may10angrcs-4 |
| Totals: Over 3.5 goals scored | 26¢ | +2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/strasbourg-alsace-at-angers-totals-over-35-goals-s-kalshi-kxligue1total-26may10angrcs-3 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-16 | 22 |
| 2026-05-03 | 18 |
| 2026-05-09 | 34 |

_6 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-06 · Angers +24pp 5→29¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-06 · Both Teams to Score: Both Teams To Score +5pp 48→53¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-08 · Strasbourg Alsace wins by over 1.5 goals +3pp 12→15¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-07 · Totals: Over 4.5 goals scored +3pp 4→7¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-08 · Totals: Over 4.5 goals scored +3pp 7→10¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/coupedefranceadvance
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=coupedefranceadvance

## License

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