# CR Brasil vs. Operário Ferroviário EC - More Markets

> O/U 1.5 leads at 69%, runner-up 46% across 9 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 8 h ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/cr-brasil-vs-operrio-ferrovirio-ec-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-09T00:05:11.822Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-09

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 69%
- Runner-up: Both Teams to Score at 46%
- Outcomes: 9 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (9 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (9)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 69¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cr-brasil-vs-operrio-ferrovirio-ec-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0x6f86776789123ca26ee771d80939cedafa6e58f6ef2caff02eb569cfcaa9c120 |
| Both Teams to Score | 46¢ | −3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cr-brasil-vs-operrio-ferrovirio-ec-more-markets-bo-polymarket-0xa5f522151debf41fcf26195136747301f20ba3d20955f1a5814f046cf0a51970 |
| O/U 2.5 | 41¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cr-brasil-vs-operrio-ferrovirio-ec-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0x70e10501842abf2cc12b3b4a1303d9ccd6e3dece6fe2c37db17f762dfe588dc9 |
| CR Brasil (-1.5) | 22¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cr-brasil-vs-operrio-ferrovirio-ec-more-markets-cr-polymarket-0x2a30cf95fdbd7f17446874b1a239a0141f4386627d88edad4def5411dde4165e |
| O/U 3.5 | 21¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cr-brasil-vs-operrio-ferrovirio-ec-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0xedd9582a16ed4654874f8e8ab999959059a1c5f42b8bb2b8eb8f0fa37e5667ba |
| Operário Ferroviário EC (-1.5) | 10¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cr-brasil-vs-operrio-ferrovirio-ec-more-markets-op-polymarket-0x0040a3dd517e252d6df8e377cf60064ebecc73098d0216d858cc82e962b7e89b |
| CR Brasil (-2.5) | 9¢ | −3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cr-brasil-vs-operrio-ferrovirio-ec-more-markets-cr-polymarket-0xe958cd5d23b6635b56bc542c232948403804a8ac7a7edcc8bb411dac696c1429 |
| O/U 4.5 | 9¢ | −3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cr-brasil-vs-operrio-ferrovirio-ec-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0x0576ccae947d8d8a898ad6ff6846e684d38f569fa7621b51400f897b904e58ce |
| Operário Ferroviário EC (-2.5) | 6¢ | −2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cr-brasil-vs-operrio-ferrovirio-ec-more-markets-op-polymarket-0x63e6bb23a91557babc6125e64880f0f38ee9583a40f6c2bf419131a3fa11b54b |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | O/U 1.5 | Both Teams to Score | O/U 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 69 | 50 | — |
| 2026-05-07 | 69 | 50 | 42 |
| 2026-05-08 | 69 | — | 41 |
| 2026-05-09 | 68 | 47 | 42 |

_4 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-08 · CR Brasil (-1.5) +5pp 17→22¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-08 · Operário Ferroviário EC (-2.5) −4pp 10→6¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-07 · Operário Ferroviário EC (-1.5) −3pp 12→9¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-09 · CR Brasil (-2.5) −3pp 11→8¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-07 · Operário Ferroviário EC (-2.5) −3pp 13→10¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This market reflects the probability that both CR Brasil and Operário Ferroviário EC will score in their upcoming fixture. The 50% probability on the 'Both Teams to Score' contract indicates the market perceives roughly equal likelihood of a multi-goal outcome versus a match where at least one team is shut out. Factors influencing this level include each team's recent offensive and defensive form, their head-to-head scoring patterns, and current lineup availability. The match itself will definitively resolve this contract once played, with resolution depending on whether both teams register at least one goal across the 90+ minutes. The low trading volume across all three related contracts suggests limited market participation, which may mean the probability reflects thin liquidity rather than deep consensus. Teams' tactical approaches—whether either side prioritizes defensive solidity—will be the primary determinant of the outcome.

### Key factors

- Recent goal-scoring frequency for both CR Brasil and Operário Ferroviário EC in their respective recent matches
- Defensive record and goals-conceded average for each team over their last 5-10 fixtures
- Head-to-head history between these teams, if available, regarding scoring patterns and defensive approaches
- Current player availability, particularly key attacking or defensive personnel, which may affect each team's expected output
- Match timing and context (league position, motivation, potential fixture congestion) that might influence tactical setup

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/cr-brasil-vs-operrio-ferrovirio-ec-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=cr-brasil-vs-operrio-ferrovirio-ec-more-markets

## License

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