# CR Brasil vs. Operário Ferroviário EC

> CR Brasil leads at 46%, runner-up 28% across 3 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 4 h ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/cr-brasil-vs-operrio-ferrovirio-ec
Updated: 2026-05-09T00:05:11.413Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-09

## Headline

- Leader: CR Brasil at 46%
- Runner-up: Draw (CR Brasil vs. Operário Ferroviário EC) at 28%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $4

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CR Brasil | 46¢ | ±0 | $4 | polymarket | /markets/cr-brasil-vs-operrio-ferrovirio-ec-cr-brasil-polymarket-0xa56a93ee58d668ca9f527936af402e12539e4ee6bfeca2b1bf4f8106cd7cf624 |
| Draw (CR Brasil vs. Operário Ferroviário EC) | 28¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cr-brasil-vs-operrio-ferrovirio-ec-draw-cr-brasil-polymarket-0x55b03810aaa7bee707d865bafeaa2166cd2bcaa27bbb7eb5f8ff7f265bdc5190 |
| Operário Ferroviário EC | 26¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cr-brasil-vs-operrio-ferrovirio-ec-operrio-ferrovi-polymarket-0x36253c376324c51361151b86c97b26a035fb70141ea03a765a1eb0b490ff80e8 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | CR Brasil | Draw (CR Brasil vs. Operário Ferroviário EC) | Operário Ferroviário EC |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 46 | 28 | 27 |
| 2026-05-07 | 46 | — | 26 |
| 2026-05-08 | — | — | 27 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Analysis

This probability indicates market participants view a draw outcome as slightly more likely than an Operário Ferroviário EC victory in an upcoming CR Brasil vs. Operário Ferroviário EC match, with both outcomes trading within a narrow 1-point spread. The tight clustering around 27–28% suggests substantial uncertainty rather than conviction. Draw odds in Brazilian football typically reflect competitive balance and venue conditions; movements would likely follow team form, recent head-to-head patterns, or lineup changes announced before kickoff. The match date and official team news would be the primary catalysts for repricing, as concrete injury reports or tactical shifts could shift probability toward either outcome or strengthen the draw case.

### Key factors

- Recent form and goal-scoring efficiency of both CR Brasil and Operário Ferroviário EC in the weeks leading up to the fixture
- Head-to-head historical record, including draw frequency and typical goal totals in prior meetings
- Home-field advantage and venue attendance patterns, which influence defensive stability and draw likelihood
- Confirmed lineup availability—injuries to key players or suspensions would alter scoring potential and draw probability
- Kickoff date and market liquidity; low 24-hour volume ($0 reported) suggests limited recent trading activity and potential for sharper repricing upon match announcement confirmation

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/cr-brasil-vs-operrio-ferrovirio-ec
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=cr-brasil-vs-operrio-ferrovirio-ec

## License

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