# CS Cienciano vs. CD Comerciantes Unidos - More Markets: CS Cienciano (-1.5)

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 33% across 16 contracts — refreshed 14 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/cs-cienciano-vs-cd-comerciantes-unidos-more-markets-cs
Updated: 2026-05-04T02:20:52.778Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-06

## Headline

- Probability: 33% (liquidity-weighted across 16 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (16 contracts)
- 24h volume: $71

## Bound contracts (16)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 2.5 | 66¢ | +3pp | $43 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x92fa6c618d32593fd64e01106ddf8102f987fe612e1762d2e78e0d9a38f99a3a |
| O/U 3.5 | 24¢ | −1pp | $25 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc-more-polymarket-0x5d58f60bcef71fbea32cd17317002ed65fef80adb99080b2bf49aa94cf71ee3d |
| Incheon United FC (-2.5) | 3¢ | +1pp | $2 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc-more-polymarket-0x4ce71d662883de795b58a84a72031b1561a1c077297aabf78b6b2e3baf43a7ed |
| O/U 2.5 | 56¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x2651198ee21da63ab9659c2340246270878006e0d2e196e97b422ff660a2772e |
| O/U 2.5 | 47¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/qingdao-xihaian-fc-vs-tianjin-jinmen-hu-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x8c7c03c972df3c78569568b6d77b24c6d573ba28a550321416fef8f87b53b8bb |
| Tōkyō Verdy (-1.5) | 9¢ | −2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kawasaki-frontale-vs-tky-verdy-more-markets-tky-ve-polymarket-0x2ae2ebd1fd8f36dee4140d1e5d50addade8319b01b9486d126f98e2e54d468c8 |
| O/U 2.5 | 53¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/wuhan-san-zhen-fc-vs-qingdao-hainiu-fc-more-market-polymarket-0x4612ca5173a5a4fcf85507aeb04a8592bc10dda7e82aa160ccf2a48ee08c3182 |
| CS Cienciano (-1.5) | 14¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/academia-puerto-cabello-vs-cs-cienciano-more-marke-polymarket-0x9c88781673f99b1adbeed2763c6d18ddb6c360f7f54f334402520facc88f2195 |
| CS Cienciano (-2.5) | 11¢ | +8pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/academia-puerto-cabello-vs-cs-cienciano-more-marke-polymarket-0xd9e4b92d6364a2d290c171bbd83fb1f7ff5dde8d7ea0a9ece7b597be09c654cc |
| Both Teams to Score | 54¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/academia-puerto-cabello-vs-cs-cienciano-more-marke-polymarket-0x3760860d50243405f52ebd806b1a3ef70a932c0dfaa01db8b1282514a03686e3 |
| Academia Puerto Cabello (-1.5) | 16¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/academia-puerto-cabello-vs-cs-cienciano-more-marke-polymarket-0x4a12042216de3e5aae5cd32778902b842db86baf2cf7171b9e5651f34bdd15f7 |
| O/U 3.5 | 26¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/academia-puerto-cabello-vs-cs-cienciano-more-marke-polymarket-0xc7befbe440ede25371adc8b78ebabaa40aa67d60eccbd7552d804e073947da6f |
| O/U 1.5 | 74¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/academia-puerto-cabello-vs-cs-cienciano-more-marke-polymarket-0x4a9cea80bdc446048226a183870a59750f582f14c8f29f1c4634743193e4f5f4 |
| O/U 2.5 | 48¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/academia-puerto-cabello-vs-cs-cienciano-more-marke-polymarket-0xcdb8fe0b21ea323726b72ece8dcc0d30833ef8024499592b6636fb44338544e4 |
| Academia Puerto Cabello (-2.5) | 13¢ | +10pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/academia-puerto-cabello-vs-cs-cienciano-more-marke-polymarket-0xfe442ee170c5214e6c6951ef7949afd2834cfd0079dac5801f9fd9f8a1a9dd9c |
| O/U 4.5 | 12¢ | −5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/academia-puerto-cabello-vs-cs-cienciano-more-marke-polymarket-0x57efa30b3c2f0e8a06f15a8aacc77ba0ad4aebf88d388bec3b4af0b81e84fc4b |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 50 |
| 2026-05-02 | 32 |
| 2026-05-03 | 31 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · Incheon United FC (-2.5) −17pp 35→18¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Academia Puerto Cabello (-2.5) +10pp 13→23¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · CS Cienciano (-2.5) +8pp 11→19¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · O/U 4.5 −5pp 18→13¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Both Teams to Score +4pp 50→54¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/cs-cienciano-vs-cd-comerciantes-unidos-more-markets-cs
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=cs-cienciano-vs-cd-comerciantes-unidos-more-markets-cs

## License

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