# CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5

> Closed. Last odds frozen 2 d ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-more-markets-ou
Updated: 2026-05-07T00:35:50.121Z
Category: general
Status: historical
Closes: 2026-05-07

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 68%
- Runner-up: Both Teams to Score at 49%
- Outcomes: 9 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (9 contracts)
- 24h volume: $57K

## Bound contracts (9)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 68¢ | −24pp | $1K | polymarket | /markets/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-more-m-polymarket-0xd8a7d5d547100b2270933248df7428d9017f6b931f9308bed03ab382d22b4976 |
| Both Teams to Score | 49¢ | −17pp | $1K | polymarket | /markets/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-more-m-polymarket-0x9ff78c27fda30e5b9dbe59ba5899c2dd5001db91eb9f6991bba3e152776590df |
| O/U 2.5 | 42¢ | −20pp | $54K | polymarket | /markets/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-more-m-polymarket-0x7353429eea6a19c8f51656bb2b78b9febb4e23463eb4f3115e62e575cf46ad9d |
| O/U 3.5 | 20¢ | −8pp | $552 | polymarket | /markets/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-more-m-polymarket-0x8b09a61747807aac72d01b9c57762c496de365271792470e7f0828c65206fc9e |
| CS Independiente Rivadavia (-1.5) | 18¢ | −6pp | $125 | polymarket | /markets/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-more-m-polymarket-0x43d406716ebb5b3949e627516fd9fd8163a81dc7b6dcf2d7c86d8f037121e39b |
| Fluminense FC (-1.5) | 11¢ | −6pp | $123 | polymarket | /markets/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-more-m-polymarket-0x5fff26d17fdf67b340805d5b33198f2874e8301b3e6629c8e8109612edb03c5a |
| O/U 4.5 | 8¢ | +2pp | $43 | polymarket | /markets/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-more-m-polymarket-0xb4cd80e3412a2737eb14d990736e8d6adfad75e6aac6bd32eeecb8864b8104dc |
| CS Independiente Rivadavia (-2.5) | 5¢ | +3pp | $69 | polymarket | /markets/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-more-m-polymarket-0x4fe6145be9c1a8444114672c2bbfc3eea1f40e63269229c5a134c0a62b097662 |
| Fluminense FC (-2.5) | 3¢ | +10pp | $154 | polymarket | /markets/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-more-m-polymarket-0xff496f3de17ada028aa13a378c1749532a6b538409094f56ea1734e14ce81114 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | O/U 1.5 | Both Teams to Score | O/U 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | — | 51 | 43 |
| 2026-05-06 | 67 | 48 | 40 |
| 2026-05-07 | 43 | 31 | 20 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-07 · O/U 1.5 −24pp 67→43¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-07 · O/U 2.5 −20pp 40→20¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-07 · Both Teams to Score −17pp 48→31¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-06 · Fluminense FC (-1.5) −17pp 27→10¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-06 · CS Independiente Rivadavia (-2.5) −17pp 22→5¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This market reflects a 68% probability that the CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC match will have fewer than 1.5 total goals scored. The current probability leans toward a low-scoring outcome, suggesting market participants expect either strong defensive play, limited offensive opportunities, or conservative team tactics. The market is driven primarily by Fluminense's recent form and defensive capabilities, while Independiente Rivadavia's attacking potency represents the main uncertainty pushing against the under. The match outcome itself—occurring on the scheduled fixture date—will definitively resolve this contract, as the final goal total becomes an objective fact. Limited trading volume ($5 in 24-hour activity) on Polymarket indicates relatively modest liquidity and potential sensitivity to new information about team lineups or conditions.

### Key factors

- Fluminense's defensive record and goal-concession rate in recent matches
- Independiente Rivadavia's scoring efficiency and average goals per game this season
- Head-to-head historical patterns between these teams if available
- Team news regarding key forwards or defensive injuries closer to match date
- Venue conditions and potential weather impact on playing style

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

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- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-more-markets-ou

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