# CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC

> Fluminense FC leads at 36%, runner-up 35% across 3 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 3 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc
Updated: 2026-05-03T16:35:59.573Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-07

## Headline

- Leader: Fluminense FC at 36%
- Runner-up: CS Independiente Rivadavia at 35%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $10

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense FC | 36¢ | — | $10 | polymarket | /markets/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-flumin-polymarket-0xdf1c5669cd4279748bdc30257101e9e3ece4843fa303d0bc177f6b82e91fde24 |
| CS Independiente Rivadavia | 35¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-cs-ind-polymarket-0xa11f14243031feb0114e6edfc3461757ed2499870b3469a707374b04e30334a6 |
| Draw (CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC) | 30¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-draw-c-polymarket-0x3a3edfc0875f4fd51d51c2afaf7f6499178b9d175cddc7f007edb8d8657a49b6 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Fluminense FC | CS Independiente Rivadavia |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | 35 | — |
| 2026-05-03 | — | 35 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Analysis

This probability reflects a prediction that Fluminense FC has a 36% chance of winning an upcoming match against CS Independiente Rivadavia. The market prices Fluminense as a meaningful favorite with 36% odds, while a draw is priced at 30% and Rivadavia at approximately 34%, suggesting no outcome is overwhelmingly likely. The implied probabilities reflect both teams' recent form, historical head-to-head records, and home-field considerations. Resolution will occur upon match completion, with actual game outcome determining payouts. Trading volume on this contract remains low, which can mean less refined probability estimation due to limited market participation and potential wider bid-ask spreads.

### Key factors

- Fluminense's recent league performance and winning percentage versus Rivadavia's current form
- Home or away status and stadium advantage for each team in this fixture
- Head-to-head historical results between these specific clubs
- Injury status or roster changes for either team prior to kickoff
- The 30% draw probability suggests meaningful uncertainty in expected match outcome

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc

## License

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