# Will ALKA win map 2 in the ALKA vs. 9z match

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 13% across 20 contracts — refreshed 2 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/cs2map
Updated: 2026-06-08T05:20:09.703Z
Category: sports
Status: active
Closes: 2026-06-22

## Headline

- Probability: 13% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $215

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Young Ninjas | 6¢ | — | $120 | kalshi | /markets/will-young-ninjas-win-map-1-in-the-young-ninjas-vs-kalshi-kxcs2map-26jun100630yng2a-1-yn |
| Misa Esports | 29¢ | +23pp | $72 | kalshi | /markets/will-misa-esports-win-map-2-in-the-misa-esports-vs-kalshi-kxcs2map-26jun090630mislav-2-mis |
| G2 Ares | 44¢ | — | $15 | kalshi | /markets/will-g2-ares-win-map-1-in-the-young-ninjas-vs-g2-a-kalshi-kxcs2map-26jun100630yng2a-1-g2a |
| G2 Ares | 44¢ | — | $7 | kalshi | /markets/will-g2-ares-win-map-2-in-the-young-ninjas-vs-g2-a-kalshi-kxcs2map-26jun100630yng2a-2-g2a |
| Lavked | 6¢ | −36pp | $1 | kalshi | /markets/will-lavked-win-map-2-in-the-misa-esports-vs-lavke-kalshi-kxcs2map-26jun090630mislav-2-lav |
| Young Ninjas | 14¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-young-ninjas-win-map-2-in-the-young-ninjas-vs-kalshi-kxcs2map-26jun100630yng2a-2-yn |
| Masked Regime | 5¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-masked-regime-win-map-2-in-the-masked-regime-kalshi-kxcs2map-26jun100430mrgro-2-mr |
| Ground Zero | 5¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-ground-zero-win-map-2-in-the-masked-regime-vs-kalshi-kxcs2map-26jun100430mrgro-2-gro |
| Masked Regime | 5¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-masked-regime-win-map-1-in-the-masked-regime-kalshi-kxcs2map-26jun100430mrgro-1-mr |
| Ground Zero | 6¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-ground-zero-win-map-1-in-the-masked-regime-vs-kalshi-kxcs2map-26jun100430mrgro-1-gro |
| DXA Esports | 5¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-dxa-esports-win-map-2-in-the-dxa-esports-vs-d-kalshi-kxcs2map-26jun100430dxadin-2-dxa |
| Ding Cuts | 6¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-ding-cuts-win-map-2-in-the-dxa-esports-vs-din-kalshi-kxcs2map-26jun100430dxadin-2-din |
| DXA Esports | 6¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-dxa-esports-win-map-1-in-the-dxa-esports-vs-d-kalshi-kxcs2map-26jun100430dxadin-1-dxa |
| Ding Cuts | 6¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-ding-cuts-win-map-1-in-the-dxa-esports-vs-din-kalshi-kxcs2map-26jun100430dxadin-1-din |
| RUSTEC | 7¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-rustec-win-map-2-in-the-rustec-vs-against-all-kalshi-kxcs2map-26jun100400rustaaa-2-rust |
| against All authority | 24¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-against-all-authority-win-map-2-in-the-rustec-kalshi-kxcs2map-26jun100400rustaaa-2-aaa |
| RUSTEC | 6¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-rustec-win-map-1-in-the-rustec-vs-against-all-kalshi-kxcs2map-26jun100400rustaaa-1-rust |
| against All authority | 25¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-against-all-authority-win-map-1-in-the-rustec-kalshi-kxcs2map-26jun100400rustaaa-1-aaa |
| Misa Esports | 6¢ | −7pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-misa-esports-win-map-1-in-the-misa-esports-vs-kalshi-kxcs2map-26jun090630mislav-1-mis |
| Lavked | 8¢ | +11pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-lavked-win-map-1-in-the-misa-esports-vs-lavke-kalshi-kxcs2map-26jun090630mislav-1-lav |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-07 | 33 |
| 2026-06-08 | 16 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-06-08 · Lavked −36pp 61→25¢ · kalshi
- 2026-06-08 · Misa Esports +23pp 6→29¢ · kalshi
- 2026-06-08 · Lavked +11pp 54→65¢ · kalshi
- 2026-06-08 · Misa Esports −7pp 12→5¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/cs2map
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=cs2map

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.