# CSD Xelajú MC vs. CSD Cobán Imperial - More Markets: CSD Cobán Imperial (-1.5)

> Closed. Final outcome: Imperial. Last odds frozen 4 d ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/csd-xelaj-mc-vs-csd-cobn-imperial-more-markets-csd-cobn
Updated: 2026-05-04T09:20:24.125Z
Category: general
Status: resolved
Closes: 2026-05-17

## Headline

- Probability: 49% (liquidity-weighted across 2 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (2 contracts)
- 24h volume: $92K
- Resolved: Imperial

## Bound contracts (2)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Imperial | 78¢ | — | $51K | kalshi | /markets/will-imperial-win-the-bounty-hunters-esports-vs-im-kalshi-kxcs2game-26may031700bheimp-imp |
| Bounty Hunters Esports | 19¢ | — | $40K | kalshi | /markets/will-bounty-hunters-esports-win-the-bounty-hunters-kalshi-kxcs2game-26may031700bheimp-bhe |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | 40 |

_1 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/csd-xelaj-mc-vs-csd-cobn-imperial-more-markets-csd-cobn
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=csd-xelaj-mc-vs-csd-cobn-imperial-more-markets-csd-cobn

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