# CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Boca Juniors - More Markets: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 27% across 20 contracts — refreshed 4 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/csyd-defensa-y-justicia-vs-ca-boca-juniors-more-markets-ca
Updated: 2026-05-03T16:50:56.638Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 27% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Cross-venue: Kalshi 33% / Polymarket 26% — 7pp spread
- 24h volume: $420

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defensa y Justicia | 24¢ | +1pp | $303 | kalshi | /markets/mendoza-vs-defensa-y-justicia-winner-defensa-y-jus-kalshi-kxargpremdivgame-26may04gemdyj-dyj |
| Boca Juniors | 42¢ | — | $102 | kalshi | /markets/barcelona-vs-boca-juniors-winner-boca-juniors-kalshi-kxconmebollibgame-26may05bscboc-boc |
| CA Boca Juniors | 47¢ | −1pp | $15 | polymarket | /markets/barcelona-sc-vs-ca-boca-juniors-ca-boca-juniors-polymarket-0x3292caae4a9214a084faf21bccde721805f5ef752eba64e429ab2a0516910ecf |
| Barcelona SC | 24¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/barcelona-sc-vs-ca-boca-juniors-barcelona-sc-polymarket-0xe915f7d9ddfb88d71d1b7b353e53e68bdf95acb399a898ab86a34f42e58188c2 |
| Barcelona SC (-1.5) | 8¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/barcelona-sc-vs-ca-boca-juniors-more-markets-barce-polymarket-0x69d6edede8ce29b79a8251bcb3bef5bd3b7faea600a23b29275742d6c3b2d3d6 |
| O/U 2.5 | 38¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/barcelona-sc-vs-ca-boca-juniors-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0x6c9dfdba47b0a2bf8212e0186c605b879c88c7b3aa5cdc32a84534b9f27f2435 |
| Draw (Barcelona SC vs. CA Boca Juniors) | 30¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/barcelona-sc-vs-ca-boca-juniors-draw-barcelona-sc-polymarket-0xd45bfcacd6c31580329acb8654d744a91931542cc269eebcc006db8b1df7a3ff |
| Barcelona SC (-2.5) | 11¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/barcelona-sc-vs-ca-boca-juniors-more-markets-barce-polymarket-0x26b622c505baa0ef459c52963e53b897729ff678cf05923b8e0d67f3a28ac4ec |
| CA Boca Juniors (-1.5) | 22¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/barcelona-sc-vs-ca-boca-juniors-more-markets-ca-bo-polymarket-0xf8dc443e40dce3fa9e9a3ef3230ce1892390b215e30a544292d94d759f033961 |
| Both Teams to Score | 44¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/barcelona-sc-vs-ca-boca-juniors-more-markets-both-polymarket-0x6fb786587f1d03965ecc5fe2b36a6e1a373b25b621eda17c7eabcf27d2e3a248 |
| O/U 4.5 | 9¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/barcelona-sc-vs-ca-boca-juniors-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0x466b1e1ec1ad11131a7f7562aa5d7a65f1e2cb9df6f1cf375cbf94f7a8d4275c |
| O/U 1.5 | 63¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/barcelona-sc-vs-ca-boca-juniors-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0xe5bd70991550e403a487b77de629e0733d8b7316fbc48f6b9f2ee22aa0124ec1 |
| CA Boca Juniors (-2.5) | 12¢ | +7pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/barcelona-sc-vs-ca-boca-juniors-more-markets-ca-bo-polymarket-0x054c76cd4abd4d955596ea664c4555fac45bc506797d3ca3075f6a8a8afbb352 |
| O/U 3.5 | 18¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/barcelona-sc-vs-ca-boca-juniors-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0x5509fe4429eb169a8dcc4ab4b968af4f5ba523fefa21458cccc1c5dd171c6839 |
| Winner: Boca Juniors | 49¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/liga-nacional-de-bsquetbol-winner-boca-juniors-polymarket-0x431dd5de120d64b53cdc85e7174717522e4c5618f0c463a54c382307f8e1aa35 |
| CSyD Macará (-1.5) | 14¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/csyd-macar-vs-ca-tigre-more-markets-csyd-macar-15-polymarket-0x351a5f3aa4563cf10d818d8df504e7725c5f873c02c8c0df4ec56ac1f3f4c2ae |
| CA Tigre (-1.5) | 12¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/csyd-macar-vs-ca-tigre-more-markets-ca-tigre-15-polymarket-0xfe5d0bb2b7af9b47ab603dbcd9d5fd1aa8274ced5fc719f0e93e5e03eaa91624 |
| O/U 2.5 | 37¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/csyd-macar-vs-ca-tigre-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0x928757f8b7746f96d7c6f1d2730005cbbfde38a8340626f0b012e9e43a8ad1f0 |
| O/U 3.5 | 19¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/csyd-macar-vs-ca-tigre-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0x63b32d200258c447723df9a544ca816ff112032d67e72b4969619c5baf60c62b |
| O/U 4.5 | 12¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/csyd-macar-vs-ca-tigre-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0xb60b6748fb4886b41176bc92bdaf71f86b3cfcb3097d21bac2aa2b27b71f94e3 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | 48 |
| 2026-05-03 | 29 |

_7 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · CA Boca Juniors (-2.5) +7pp 12→19¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Barcelona SC (-2.5) +3pp 10→13¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/csyd-defensa-y-justicia-vs-ca-boca-juniors-more-markets-ca
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=csyd-defensa-y-justicia-vs-ca-boca-juniors-more-markets-ca

## License

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