# Cusco FC vs. FC Cajamarca - More Markets

> Closed. Last odds frozen 2 d ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/cusco-fc-vs-fc-cajamarca-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-07T06:35:43.886Z
Category: general
Status: historical
Closes: 2026-05-06

## Headline

- Probability: 25% (liquidity-weighted across 11 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (11 contracts)
- 24h volume: $642

## Bound contracts (11)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tōkyō Verdy (-1.5) | 9¢ | −20pp | $384 | polymarket | /markets/kawasaki-frontale-vs-tky-verdy-more-markets-tky-ve-polymarket-0x2ae2ebd1fd8f36dee4140d1e5d50addade8319b01b9486d126f98e2e54d468c8 |
| O/U 2.5 | 39¢ | −34pp | $163 | polymarket | /markets/cusco-fc-vs-estudiantes-de-la-plata-more-markets-o-polymarket-0x21404a09e0d720a9cb71040ddde025d49ca327df173335b1a5867185fca21e39 |
| O/U 2.5 | 53¢ | — | $82 | polymarket | /markets/wuhan-san-zhen-fc-vs-qingdao-hainiu-fc-more-market-polymarket-0x4612ca5173a5a4fcf85507aeb04a8592bc10dda7e82aa160ccf2a48ee08c3182 |
| Estudiantes de La Plata (-1.5) | 18¢ | −15pp | $7 | polymarket | /markets/cusco-fc-vs-estudiantes-de-la-plata-more-markets-e-polymarket-0xedbf9830a33f8b754e3d46edd1a8faf0db2532a9c6a68dd43db47330b2f1a9d2 |
| O/U 3.5 | 19¢ | −18pp | $5 | polymarket | /markets/cusco-fc-vs-estudiantes-de-la-plata-more-markets-o-polymarket-0xa6a15833c581768a002f01eb488618a87caaa83aa844b681a58eff1ba0332cf5 |
| Estudiantes de La Plata (-2.5) | 6¢ | −9pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cusco-fc-vs-estudiantes-de-la-plata-more-markets-e-polymarket-0xb7999bbb6f827da87881ba43c9f38b587d30f70a89f39f367ddd2ffb26d65ff6 |
| Both Teams to Score | 46¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cusco-fc-vs-estudiantes-de-la-plata-more-markets-b-polymarket-0xc3eb9b4a15caac51db69e318b2a5f5171b03f8f9b1510d80f15a712973f7d2bb |
| Cusco FC (-2.5) | 3¢ | −10pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cusco-fc-vs-estudiantes-de-la-plata-more-markets-c-polymarket-0x8b94a2509812397cc85e1c647ddea04b71fe3cf51ddf98ec6148de3a49b5391e |
| Cusco FC (-1.5) | 10¢ | −13pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cusco-fc-vs-estudiantes-de-la-plata-more-markets-c-polymarket-0x413b3282f41f1ebe3e0b68a359bc46360565eb963fd99e6d503c33c580dea054 |
| O/U 4.5 | 8¢ | −11pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cusco-fc-vs-estudiantes-de-la-plata-more-markets-o-polymarket-0x85655ce178862105d744d537a01a7dc103ead9e540db5e64127c181942a3e0c8 |
| O/U 1.5 | 66¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cusco-fc-vs-estudiantes-de-la-plata-more-markets-o-polymarket-0x5a357fd5e5b4f4b3c292234d51c5abddcf53843f4fc37d6da52e749e4a1ae2d8 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | 28 |
| 2026-05-03 | 23 |
| 2026-05-06 | 25 |
| 2026-05-07 | 0 |

_4 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-07 · O/U 2.5 −34pp 34→0¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-06 · Tōkyō Verdy (-1.5) −20pp 26→6¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-07 · O/U 3.5 −18pp 18→0¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-07 · Estudiantes de La Plata (-1.5) −15pp 15→0¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-07 · Cusco FC (-1.5) −13pp 13→0¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/cusco-fc-vs-fc-cajamarca-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=cusco-fc-vs-fc-cajamarca-more-markets

## License

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