# Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Jeju SK FC

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 30% across 20 contracts — refreshed 6 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-jeju-sk-fc
Updated: 2026-05-03T13:20:06.083Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-12-20

## Headline

- Probability: 30% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $449

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Incheon United FC | 28¢ | −4pp | $253 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc-inche-polymarket-0x10cbc272a36c8985d46640eaedb6a58c32cd54479bf4fc87e8d45f07774077dd |
| Daejeon Hana Citizen FC | 43¢ | +1pp | $90 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc-daeje-polymarket-0x76a37b690aecd81c24c5bf469243f7175236ac231ad8298c834611ede69b687c |
| O/U 2.5 | 39¢ | −2pp | $50 | polymarket | /markets/bucheon-fc-1995-vs-jeju-sk-fc-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0x2226aaa7d772c031bca563f44f9b6bda8f4a893e723c20efeb17d0e4f434408f |
| O/U 3.5 | 24¢ | −1pp | $29 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc-more-polymarket-0x5d58f60bcef71fbea32cd17317002ed65fef80adb99080b2bf49aa94cf71ee3d |
| Incheon United FC (-2.5) | 4¢ | +1pp | $11 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc-more-polymarket-0x4ce71d662883de795b58a84a72031b1561a1c077297aabf78b6b2e3baf43a7ed |
| Ghana | 46¢ | ±0 | $11 | polymarket | /markets/ghana-vs-panama-ghana-polymarket-0x0256ef63427ed0d9eefa1422eee948165a2a215b0741a339025fb08b2cf6e15d |
| O/U 3.5 | 20¢ | +1pp | $5 | polymarket | /markets/bucheon-fc-1995-vs-jeju-sk-fc-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0x5174b7edd5d8eae7226053990fa903a22632a3ed0cc3f68db6f22a43ab477507 |
| O/U 4.5 | 9¢ | −4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc-more-polymarket-0x73881eed654b4929511b52a3f86f85b660b193defce0ea008ff79d3bdc18c695 |
| O/U 2.5 | 45¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc-more-polymarket-0x14ce80ab43fc74748399bc950d32c9547836ce7f976d75f84c9f47cbf664b44a |
| Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-1.5) | 17¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc-more-polymarket-0x1b4942c83673aa6671e57001745f1c23cd67edd43b92ce4cd663f334e9fdebf9 |
| Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-2.5) | 7¢ | −6pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc-more-polymarket-0x2db8baa05da287c57b226a6d3eb3c82412114a42a505d36b94afe097e7602d23 |
| Draw (Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC) | 28¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc-draw-polymarket-0x747211b11adb14e16471c8c62c23291c3bae76c3c903d1a710706ff49776dabc |
| Both Teams to Score | 52¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc-more-polymarket-0x110c5499e5eb45c4d9f51cc64d1dc6d65de41a7878946b7cf2bd3b2461e9a329 |
| O/U 1.5 | 71¢ | +5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc-more-polymarket-0x322393ed3e69e093252f1d2d448d2437540e6b1adfcbba7381082b41ea6fb00a |
| Incheon United FC (-1.5) | 9¢ | +8pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc-more-polymarket-0x8d81ee07e25f05febdfe0dcf9590bd9ec703e6babeb8f532e9ef0d3728d6e872 |
| Winner: Daejeon Hana Citizen | 49¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/k-league-winner-daejeon-hana-citizen-polymarket-0xc8fac77c405c84cd56c294fc8e54661412693a57529576cea30f82728b94b8e0 |
| Both Teams to Score | 48¢ | −6pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/bucheon-fc-1995-vs-jeju-sk-fc-more-markets-both-te-polymarket-0xc167b1cc5d2017ec544c0f3d1a7a8ee30ff6a5c2183d2038ea88c23a70166fc3 |
| Bucheon FC 1995 (-1.5) | 12¢ | −9pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/bucheon-fc-1995-vs-jeju-sk-fc-more-markets-bucheon-polymarket-0x1860d0ae2d6f63d1611b169704a24ea8a9bf53c87ad1cd83e98caef160c802d3 |
| Croatia | 42¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/croatia-vs-ghana-croatia-polymarket-0x2cc359648ba6695498c169ceaa44c5444e0479102c453289c47ed9489e7f3e93 |
| Bucheon FC 1995 (-2.5) | 5¢ | −8pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/bucheon-fc-1995-vs-jeju-sk-fc-more-markets-bucheon-polymarket-0x20d2947ff7bdf7af945bb214082f53ac37a8a460b19d06ecf0e11288fe69b4df |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | 48 |
| 2026-04-26 | 47 |
| 2026-05-03 | 30 |

_9 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · Incheon United FC (-1.5) −18pp 35→17¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Incheon United FC (-2.5) −17pp 35→18¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Bucheon FC 1995 (-2.5) −16pp 36→20¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-2.5) −14pp 34→20¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · O/U 2.5 −12pp 53→41¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-jeju-sk-fc
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-jeju-sk-fc

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.