# Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC - More Markets

> O/U 1.5 leads at 69%, runner-up 50% across 8 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 5 h ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-09T00:05:13.525Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-09

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 69%
- Runner-up: Both Teams to Score at 50%
- Outcomes: 8 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (8 contracts)
- 24h volume: $323

## Bound contracts (8)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 69¢ | ±0 | $56 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-polymarket-0x647d5e4306dd7cc5b5effe5c009cdbdbce8f8bfe075c4b92688d603ab60f5683 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50¢ | −1pp | $98 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-polymarket-0xf7452aed401d2eb302dc77e8ae99b770b37cfdf8575e09c9eaeed951e025379d |
| O/U 2.5 | 43¢ | −2pp | $20 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-polymarket-0x41b3d3818852e116807475d5bda0ee3b7337bbdb0df073e6f9ab2e282145bd66 |
| O/U 3.5 | 23¢ | −2pp | $6 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-polymarket-0x2e5d61d06103ab6b283f6b46d6078b1fcde6b0e3e92b306719f83b62e78af71c |
| Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-1.5) | 20¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-polymarket-0x2ac2e7c814ee18947f4db9063e6ee5415eb4a1505b36f2be1fea48cf7cbe05c7 |
| O/U 4.5 | 10¢ | +1pp | $94 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-polymarket-0x819f663c587fa5f14fc57ad5f1159c2665a3d7c6704564c0c6c9f07828afb804 |
| Pohang Steelers FC (-1.5) | 9¢ | −1pp | $50 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-polymarket-0x34f0f57b2f0732418ce9ad47cdf05453f1af7bbad38a4573e9fa366efea39f1b |
| Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-2.5) | 6¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-polymarket-0x68a549245482101ef494d81dd823c1bcd53253e54311c8cd94874bb6dbe863f8 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | O/U 1.5 | Both Teams to Score | O/U 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 70 | 51 | 43 |
| 2026-05-07 | 70 | 51 | 44 |
| 2026-05-08 | 69 | 50 | 44 |
| 2026-05-09 | 69 | 49 | 42 |

_4 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-08 · Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-2.5) −5pp 12→7¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-09 · Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-1.5) +3pp 18→21¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

The markets currently assign a 62% probability that the Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC match will have at least 2 goals total (over 1.5), indicating expectations for a moderately high-scoring encounter. This reflects a modest lean toward goals without suggesting a goal-fest scenario — the under 1.5 contract trades at 38%, showing meaningful belief in either a 0-0 draw or single-goal matches. The split pricing across goal-total thresholds (62% for O/U 1.5, 48% for O/U 2.5, 41% for O/U 3.5) suggests gradual uncertainty as goal totals increase. Resolution occurs at match conclusion, likely within the next 1-2 weeks based on typical K-League scheduling. Factors affecting these levels include each team's recent form, typical attacking output, defensive stability, home/away status if applicable, and any injury or personnel changes announced before kickoff.

### Key factors

- Recent goal-scoring records for both clubs; teams averaging >1.5 goals per match historically lean the market higher, while defensive-oriented teams push it lower
- Zero trading volume in the past 24 hours indicates minimal new information or market activity, so the 62% price may reflect stale positioning rather than fresh consensus
- Contrast between spread contracts (Daejeon/Pohang at ~33-34¢ each) and total-goals contracts (clustering 41-62¢) suggests greater certainty about match structure than about winner, pointing to relatively even team strength
- Match context including home/away designation, whether either team is in a winning or losing streak, and any announced absences due to injury or international duty
- K-League seasonal phase and typical match volatility; early-season fixtures often differ in scoring patterns from mid-season or playoff periods

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-markets

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