# Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC

> Daejeon Hana Citizen FC leads at 46%, runner-up 28% across 3 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 5 h ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc
Updated: 2026-05-09T00:05:14.672Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-09

## Headline

- Leader: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC at 46%
- Runner-up: Draw (Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC) at 28%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $2K

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daejeon Hana Citizen FC | 46¢ | +2pp | $871 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-daej-polymarket-0xc9a7f649fe45bba6f071fbc5c7ab9a5080cda86bad926acf59b4c2f7a8c4ae50 |
| Draw (Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC) | 28¢ | +1pp | $273 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-draw-polymarket-0x76ef219aaf3f34a230d064bbd3b89003a7138433b1e72327cf9768535c5d4932 |
| Pohang Steelers FC | 26¢ | −1pp | $468 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-poha-polymarket-0xfffd74eb840af3c07b9a310554da03154d355745d2a6c72c29ca8c191f94d82b |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Daejeon Hana Citizen FC | Draw (Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC) | Pohang Steelers FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 43 | 29 | 28 |
| 2026-05-07 | 43 | 30 | — |
| 2026-05-08 | 43 | 29 | 27 |
| 2026-05-09 | 45 | 30 | — |

_4 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Analysis

The market assigns a 45% probability to Daejeon Hana Citizen FC winning this match, with Pohang Steelers FC at 32% and a draw at 33%. This reflects modest favoring of Daejeon, though the clustering of probabilities near one-third suggests meaningful uncertainty. The current pricing likely reflects recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage if applicable. Movement in these prices would depend on team news—injuries, lineup changes, or roster updates—and any shift in seasonal performance metrics. The match itself serves as the resolving event; the winner will be determined by the final score on match day. Low trading volume indicates limited conviction or market attention, meaning substantial new information or betting activity could shift the probability meaningfully in either direction.

### Key factors

- Recent league standings and points differential between Daejeon and Pohang in the 2026 K League season
- Head-to-head historical performance and specific match records between these clubs
- Confirmed team lineups, injury status of key players, and managerial tactical adjustments closer to match date
- Home-field advantage if the match is played at one team's stadium versus neutral venue
- Match timing relative to mid-season form and any concurrent competitions that might affect squad rotation or fatigue

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc

## License

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