# Denmark vs. Ukraine - More Markets

> O/U 0.5 leads at 93%, runner-up 72% across 10 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 1 d ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/denmark-vs-ukraine-more-markets
Updated: 2026-06-06T23:20:07.256Z
Category: geopolitics · Topic: ukraine
Status: active
Closes: 2026-06-07

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 0.5 at 93%
- Runner-up: O/U 1.5 at 72%
- Outcomes: 10 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (10 contracts)
- 24h volume: $3K

## Bound contracts (10)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 93¢ | −9pp | $32 | polymarket | /markets/denmark-vs-ukraine-more-markets-ou-05-polymarket-0x0a37f80f29163ab485b30b039822e6c8e5ff8ec892a851820ba8937d87f49905 |
| O/U 1.5 | 72¢ | +11pp | $77 | polymarket | /markets/denmark-vs-ukraine-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0xf56ebdd21c0479428c6f4de88b13c6e798777728aa141edeb0f091a384855629 |
| Both Teams to Score | 48¢ | +24pp | $43 | polymarket | /markets/denmark-vs-ukraine-more-markets-both-teams-to-scor-polymarket-0x3ab3e07d64689c9589a3cc0d1a33d24acdadfcca6cc44a84b9d2c37b797f2afa |
| O/U 2.5 | 46¢ | +19pp | $32 | polymarket | /markets/denmark-vs-ukraine-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0x2a6b774b98f78dcacffb0212f94a1a28d30bf452071874292fa61f6016c54f32 |
| Denmark (-1.5) | 28¢ | −11pp | $174 | polymarket | /markets/denmark-vs-ukraine-more-markets-denmark-15-polymarket-0xd532bf2fead1732d8dcde24f0d51bd9f0f4b8f0ebc016688ffcebba4a32a7d6c |
| O/U 3.5 | 25¢ | −9pp | $220 | polymarket | /markets/denmark-vs-ukraine-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0x335586420656eed924ecad31ad2c080e850f63c5809b508377329b832791c073 |
| Denmark (-2.5) | 12¢ | −2pp | $48 | polymarket | /markets/denmark-vs-ukraine-more-markets-denmark-25-polymarket-0xc8767cfa389cf9be04642f7f1f1fa0b374af26240d8891ba03549df1b6018669 |
| O/U 4.5 | 10¢ | −1pp | $771 | polymarket | /markets/denmark-vs-ukraine-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0x3617e1b1c8f57b3feb7a128f8ac6add7b8d313ac650de28a414bdb55133e06c1 |
| Ukraine (-1.5) | 5¢ | −3pp | $200 | polymarket | /markets/denmark-vs-ukraine-more-markets-ukraine-15-polymarket-0xa28a6cc029f576cb01d4d5751d79b1f5661259eca7064a93dc7ba32ba7533f0b |
| O/U 5.5 | 3¢ | +4pp | $1K | polymarket | /markets/denmark-vs-ukraine-more-markets-ou-55-polymarket-0x3dc6afd5adb9616cb36f6ca01f19080b559ad72ab77b347f18ebf22239fa7e57 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | O/U 0.5 | O/U 1.5 | Both Teams to Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | 93 | 73 | 48 |
| 2026-06-07 | 93 | 83 | 68 |
| 2026-06-08 | 84 | 94 | 92 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-06-07 · O/U 2.5 +30pp 47→77¢ · polymarket
- 2026-06-08 · Both Teams to Score +24pp 68→92¢ · polymarket
- 2026-06-07 · Both Teams to Score +20pp 48→68¢ · polymarket
- 2026-06-08 · O/U 2.5 +19pp 77→96¢ · polymarket
- 2026-06-07 · Ukraine (-1.5) +11pp 5→16¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This market reflects the odds that both Denmark and Ukraine will score in their matchup, currently priced at 49 percent based on aggregated trading activity. The probability suggests traders view a both-teams-to-score outcome as moderately likely but slightly less probable than alternative results. The level reflects typical team performance metrics and defensive capabilities—stronger defenses would lower the probability, while defensive vulnerabilities or attacking prowess would increase it. The match outcome will be determined when the fixture is played, resolving whether both teams successfully score in regular time. Key considerations include recent goal-scoring trends for each team, injury status of key attacking and defensive players, and historical head-to-head performance in similar matchups.

### Key factors

- Recent both-teams-to-score frequency in Denmark's matches versus their defensive record
- Ukraine's current attacking output and conversion efficiency relative to their opposition
- Defensive injury status for both teams, particularly among key back-line players
- Historical goals-per-game averages in direct Denmark-Ukraine encounters
- Current form and momentum in attacking play for both squads entering the fixture

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/denmark-vs-ukraine-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=denmark-vs-ukraine-more-markets
- Topic hub: https://simplefunctions.dev/predictions/ukraine

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