# Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Club Bolívar - More Markets

> O/U 1.5 leads at 73%, runner-up 55% across 9 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 10 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/deportivo-la-guaira-fc-vs-club-bolvar-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-03T16:50:52.921Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-06

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 73%
- Runner-up: Both Teams to Score at 55%
- Outcomes: 9 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (9 contracts)
- 24h volume: $16

## Bound contracts (9)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 73¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/deportivo-la-guaira-fc-vs-club-bolvar-more-markets-polymarket-0xbd91ad1dd1092ee5a1009fbcc1d1d5913a88eb365bdbd6060c7134171162e563 |
| Both Teams to Score | 55¢ | — | $16 | polymarket | /markets/deportivo-la-guaira-fc-vs-club-bolvar-more-markets-polymarket-0x7dbbccb5586a821294b220131acd0a7aab90279e4eb59d0a02c3f9fc7b885def |
| O/U 2.5 | 49¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/deportivo-la-guaira-fc-vs-club-bolvar-more-markets-polymarket-0x918a9b1ce8e32f88972d72c122fc178984be922ae72e3399c77fec7eb07e2eb7 |
| O/U 3.5 | 26¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/deportivo-la-guaira-fc-vs-club-bolvar-more-markets-polymarket-0x235d60e0163af27aa6b6d1916db83cdca7d4948c01b0d9756171b581dcafe322 |
| Club Bolívar (-1.5) | 20¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/deportivo-la-guaira-fc-vs-club-bolvar-more-markets-polymarket-0xf9ba9e37163b942d21fe87d4a37ac1ee10be7dc3a38950355e1acedc5ad3120c |
| Deportivo La Guaira FC (-1.5) | 14¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/deportivo-la-guaira-fc-vs-club-bolvar-more-markets-polymarket-0xf2f098f5eda100471264ebf59f81e0bf9e4b54a5525d64d5fea2fc319552756f |
| O/U 4.5 | 13¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/deportivo-la-guaira-fc-vs-club-bolvar-more-markets-polymarket-0x7516361f3651865a62c39a69e685cb4884c8ce056b8a6e6ea5c07202ae25dd07 |
| Club Bolívar (-2.5) | 12¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/deportivo-la-guaira-fc-vs-club-bolvar-more-markets-polymarket-0x0a4cf4790e54377ef6360757acfc13f4e485f7d7388476acad7f1e929e4ca0fc |
| Deportivo La Guaira FC (-2.5) | 11¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/deportivo-la-guaira-fc-vs-club-bolvar-more-markets-polymarket-0x457f5048aaa471799b0d7ad737d3d26c7a76086381b8a42c41ec13b0d080fc0a |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Both Teams to Score | O/U 3.5 | Club Bolívar (-1.5) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | 63 | 26 | 26 |

_1 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Analysis

This 62% probability reflects traders' assessment that both Deportivo La Guaira and Club Bolívar will score in their upcoming match. The high probability suggests relatively balanced offensive and defensive capabilities between the teams, with both expected to generate scoring opportunities. Factors supporting both-teams scoring include typical Copa Libertadores match patterns where competitive sides often exchange goals, and any tactical setups favoring open play would reinforce this view. Conversely, a defensive-minded approach from either team or significant roster absences could lower the probability. The match itself will resolve the uncertainty once completed; recent form, head-to-head history, and team sheet availability closer to kickoff will likely drive probability shifts in the final trading period.

### Key factors

- Historical scoring rates in matchups between Bolivian and Venezuelan league champions typically show goal exchanges in 55-70% of contests
- Deportivo La Guaira's season-to-date goals-for and goals-against averages relative to Club Bolívar's defensive record will establish baseline expectations
- Team sheet confirmations, particularly injury status of key strikers or defenders, typically trigger measurable probability adjustments within 24 hours of kickoff
- Under 3.5 total goals currently prices at 26¢, indicating traders expect moderate scoring rather than a high-volume offensive display
- Zero trading volume across all five contracts in the past 24 hours suggests minimal new information flow or market conviction shifts since current probabilities formed

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/deportivo-la-guaira-fc-vs-club-bolvar-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=deportivo-la-guaira-fc-vs-club-bolvar-more-markets

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