# Deutsche Eishockey Liga

> Closed. Last odds frozen 4 d ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/deutsche-eishockey-liga
Updated: 2026-05-04T18:50:19.539Z
Category: general
Status: historical
Closes: 2026-05-21

## Headline

- Leader: Winner: Eisbären Berlin at 50%
- Runner-up: Winner: Adler Mannheim at 50%
- Outcomes: 2 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (2 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (2)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner: Eisbären Berlin | 50¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/deutsche-eishockey-liga-winner-eisbren-berlin-polymarket-0x4dece21c5e7295deb492ff6a87ce8e27367d88a1a9054e085612ff70188c3453 |
| Winner: Adler Mannheim | 50¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/deutsche-eishockey-liga-winner-adler-mannheim-polymarket-0xa0556a5a959a2d36bf802418a33b2c63333edefc6fdf7533647c079a5b914fe5 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Winner: Eisbären Berlin | Winner: Adler Mannheim |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | 49 | 49 |
| 2026-04-27 | 49 | 49 |
| 2026-04-28 | 49 | 50 |
| 2026-05-01 | — | 50 |
| 2026-05-02 | — | 50 |

_5 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Analysis

This probability reflects equal market pricing between Eisbären Berlin and Adler Mannheim to win the Deutsche Eishockey Liga championship. The 50% allocation suggests both teams are viewed as equally competitive contenders, likely based on recent regular-season performance, playoff positioning, and roster strength. The outcome depends on playoff matchup dynamics, injury status, and head-to-head performance in the knockout rounds. The main catalyst is the progression through the DEL playoff bracket, with elimination games determining which team advances toward the final. Market pricing can shift based on playoff results, trading deadline moves, or roster changes affecting team competitiveness.

### Key factors

- Current playoff standings and seeding position of both Eisbären Berlin and Adler Mannheim in the DEL playoff bracket
- Head-to-head win-loss record and recent performance trends between the two teams in the 2025-26 season
- Roster health status, particularly any injuries to key players or goaltenders that affect playoff readiness
- Historical playoff performance and championship experience of both organizations in recent seasons
- Scheduled playoff matchup dates and opponent quality that each team would face in advancing toward the final

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/deutsche-eishockey-liga
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=deutsche-eishockey-liga

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.