# Will it be reported that the DOJ reopens or initiates a criminal investigation into Jerome Powell before Jun 1, 2026

> Before Jan 1, 2027 leads at 19%, runner-up 10% across 3 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 1 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/dojpowell
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:44.108Z
Category: general · Topic: fed-rate
Status: active
Closes: 2027-01-01

## Headline

- Leader: Before Jan 1, 2027 at 19%
- Runner-up: Before Aug 1, 2026 at 10%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $8K

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 19¢ | — | $7K | kalshi | /markets/will-it-be-reported-that-the-doj-reopens-or-initia-kalshi-kxdojpowell-27-jan01 |
| Before Aug 1, 2026 | 10¢ | — | $86 | kalshi | /markets/will-it-be-reported-that-the-doj-reopens-or-initia-kalshi-kxdojpowell-27-aug01 |
| Before Jul 1, 2026 | 7¢ | — | $750 | kalshi | /markets/will-it-be-reported-that-the-doj-reopens-or-initia-kalshi-kxdojpowell-27-jul01 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Before Aug 1, 2026 | Before Jul 1, 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 10 | 7 |

_1 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/dojpowell
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=dojpowell
- Topic hub: https://simplefunctions.dev/predictions/fed-rate

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.