# What will GE Vernova Inc. say during their next earnings call

> Closed. Last odds frozen 1 d ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/earningsmentiongev
Updated: 2026-05-08T00:05:44.273Z
Category: general
Status: historical
Closes: 2026-09-30

## Headline

- Probability: 6% (liquidity-weighted across 4 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (4 contracts)
- 24h volume: $7K

## Bound contracts (4)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nvidia | 3¢ | −7pp | $2K | kalshi | /markets/what-will-lyft-inc-say-during-their-next-earnings-kalshi-kxearningsmentionlyft-26may07-nvid |
| Safety | 3¢ | −26pp | $2K | kalshi | /markets/what-will-lyft-inc-say-during-their-next-earnings-kalshi-kxearningsmentionlyft-26may07-safe |
| Social Media | 14¢ | −14pp | $2K | kalshi | /markets/what-will-airbnb-inc-say-during-their-next-earning-kalshi-kxearningsmentionabnb-26may07-soci |
| Mobileye | 5¢ | −24pp | $648 | kalshi | /markets/what-will-lyft-inc-say-during-their-next-earnings-kalshi-kxearningsmentionlyft-26may07-mobi |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-21 | 54 |
| 2026-04-25 | 63 |
| 2026-05-02 | 57 |
| 2026-05-07 | 39 |

_15 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-07 · Safety −26pp 69→43¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-06 · Safety +25pp 44→69¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-07 · Mobileye −24pp 50→26¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · Safety −15pp 59→44¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-07 · Social Media −14pp 55→41¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/earningsmentiongev
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=earningsmentiongev

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.