# EC Bahia vs. Cruzeiro EC - More Markets

> O/U 1.5 leads at 73%, runner-up 53% across 9 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 1 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ec-bahia-vs-cruzeiro-ec-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:38.445Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-10

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 73%
- Runner-up: Both Teams to Score at 53%
- Outcomes: 9 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (9 contracts)
- 24h volume: $43

## Bound contracts (9)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 73¢ | — | $31 | polymarket | /markets/ec-bahia-vs-cruzeiro-ec-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0x70f119f016b0713a25bf4800d48a13070cf411201753adfe6b5ac2b93737fce7 |
| Both Teams to Score | 53¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ec-bahia-vs-cruzeiro-ec-more-markets-both-teams-to-polymarket-0x030ee45aa9fa03b9f772f9ab1ecd1dd69c02a7d1a0e23a1aaa24335082cd81f8 |
| O/U 2.5 | 47¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ec-bahia-vs-cruzeiro-ec-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0x456a1c9e448f24331ea8df252554d8995cfda67da3a88ac049b8185343a011d4 |
| O/U 3.5 | 26¢ | — | $11 | polymarket | /markets/ec-bahia-vs-cruzeiro-ec-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0x0b4983b1a68de6c81725edefd1b3e70b61df63204307dcfbb88f0d7ffdcbe9f3 |
| EC Bahia (-1.5) | 22¢ | −3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ec-bahia-vs-cruzeiro-ec-more-markets-ec-bahia-15-polymarket-0x8e0c9a722f93206f2b1a957bdf0365d9181ee2833aa7e133b2ef6d5f858bebb2 |
| O/U 4.5 | 12¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ec-bahia-vs-cruzeiro-ec-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0x372276c7653c8ffd63bb755cbd5dba14eecb9377ec5f27e58b5c1df2ae113ab4 |
| Cruzeiro EC (-1.5) | 9¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ec-bahia-vs-cruzeiro-ec-more-markets-cruzeiro-ec-1-polymarket-0x6a82b0e16ce5404ccac60e890059c6d661fdbd551cd5b99c639c487414e22369 |
| EC Bahia (-2.5) | 8¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ec-bahia-vs-cruzeiro-ec-more-markets-ec-bahia-25-polymarket-0xba4bda22a5ee96c53b33ac5bd8dbc12be5d5d7e3bc31e86a3f6d3c9a13e2c11d |
| Cruzeiro EC (-2.5) | 3¢ | −4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ec-bahia-vs-cruzeiro-ec-more-markets-cruzeiro-ec-2-polymarket-0x9e8794439eeeb682b5996f6b35d245a392ef24b7cc8200813764b256cb5cce01 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Both Teams to Score | O/U 2.5 | O/U 3.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 54 | 48 | 26 |
| 2026-05-07 | 54 | 48 | — |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-07 · EC Bahia (-2.5) −5pp 13→8¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-08 · Cruzeiro EC (-2.5) −4pp 10→6¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-07 · EC Bahia (-1.5) −3pp 24→21¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-07 · Cruzeiro EC (-1.5) −3pp 12→9¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This market measures the likelihood that both EC Bahia and Cruzeiro EC will score in their upcoming match, currently priced at 55%. The probability reflects expectations about the attacking and defensive capabilities of both teams based on their recent form and historical scoring patterns. Factors driving the current level include each team's recent goal-scoring rate, defensive vulnerabilities, and head-to-head tendencies. The match result itself will resolve this market—if both teams score at least one goal each, the contract settles at $1; otherwise at $0. The low trading volume suggests limited market activity, which can result in wider spreads and potentially less precise probability estimates than heavily traded contracts.

### Key factors

- EC Bahia's average goals scored per match over the last 10 games and defensive goals conceded per match
- Cruzeiro EC's recent offensive output and defensive performance in comparable fixtures
- Head-to-head historical scoring patterns between these two teams in previous meetings
- Current injury status or roster changes that could affect either team's attacking or defensive capability
- The specific match date and venue, which may influence tactical approach and scoring likelihood

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ec-bahia-vs-cruzeiro-ec-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=ec-bahia-vs-cruzeiro-ec-more-markets

## License

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