# EC Bahia vs. Santos FC - More Markets

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 39% across 19 contracts — refreshed 8 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ec-bahia-vs-santos-fc-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-03T14:50:23.227Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 39% (liquidity-weighted across 19 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (19 contracts)
- 24h volume: $931

## Bound contracts (19)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5) | 3¢ | −6pp | $306 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0xeacd4b74856bcd1deffd3d1fa8f946524095752c552907e53b59734bfd8c9c9e |
| FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5) | 32¢ | −1pp | $206 | polymarket | /markets/fk-bodglimt-vs-molde-fk-more-markets-fk-bodglimt-2-polymarket-0x5283a21a15ec521f4337c8e4f501631b4d19582611acba8a1b641466f279dc97 |
| FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5) | 53¢ | ±0 | $204 | polymarket | /markets/fk-bodglimt-vs-molde-fk-more-markets-fk-bodglimt-1-polymarket-0x879d113aeafd2b7a7162ce786d626c812b0279d9c74ee8e411c2981c6c0c150c |
| O/U 2.5 | 66¢ | +3pp | $51 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x92fa6c618d32593fd64e01106ddf8102f987fe612e1762d2e78e0d9a38f99a3a |
| O/U 2.5 | 39¢ | −2pp | $50 | polymarket | /markets/bucheon-fc-1995-vs-jeju-sk-fc-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0x2226aaa7d772c031bca563f44f9b6bda8f4a893e723c20efeb17d0e4f434408f |
| O/U 3.5 | 23¢ | −1pp | $29 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc-more-polymarket-0x5d58f60bcef71fbea32cd17317002ed65fef80adb99080b2bf49aa94cf71ee3d |
| O/U 1.5 | 73¢ | ±0 | $25 | polymarket | /markets/gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-ulsan-hd-fc-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0x958037183bbbe9c19389945a89a0123d13bd75f0cbc4bf48a9c88a4f8669d5e6 |
| O/U 1.5 | 66¢ | +2pp | $25 | polymarket | /markets/bucheon-fc-1995-vs-jeju-sk-fc-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0x283620f44f63b784999c890284494a4f7f00a4044e2b66cb40b0e031a003566c |
| O/U 2.5 | 47¢ | −2pp | $25 | polymarket | /markets/gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-ulsan-hd-fc-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0xc2ca5022ecefa00d5fdb377dcf1eba34cb1973d86b75b22e40122dd29ca651b6 |
| O/U 2.5 | 53¢ | −1pp | $9 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x2651198ee21da63ab9659c2340246270878006e0d2e196e97b422ff660a2772e |
| Santos FC (-2.5) | 10¢ | +11pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/recoleta-fc-vs-santos-fc-more-markets-santos-fc-25-polymarket-0x8b7d1b3045495db64db1602f2a2dc2e9b1a14134ffd5ca46df6da70ef0b6e535 |
| O/U 2.5 | 51¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/recoleta-fc-vs-santos-fc-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0x5f871d298ceb410af90dc99daccb2e3a30265f80cbc766a9eb5dfed54ba9f819 |
| Recoleta FC (-1.5) | 8¢ | +7pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/recoleta-fc-vs-santos-fc-more-markets-recoleta-fc-polymarket-0x227b414cce0aac66306799ab8092facfc2457b07009b983aaf774d0509b62799 |
| O/U 4.5 | 14¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/recoleta-fc-vs-santos-fc-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0xbdae7dda47bdc8a73d6f94678f92dcf81f0105c1e960b850b519bee73c728701 |
| Santos FC (-1.5) | 31¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/recoleta-fc-vs-santos-fc-more-markets-santos-fc-15-polymarket-0x977bf5ecd7328decd940d046ef71f9cad59afae32ac394055cd14a9ca47b7607 |
| O/U 3.5 | 29¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/recoleta-fc-vs-santos-fc-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0x649f758c6dde622a7bf75befacc1a7c2f70d0afef0894db50623c07f953fc7d8 |
| O/U 1.5 | 76¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/recoleta-fc-vs-santos-fc-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0x2e35d2a371eb9f57720f882c8f2ba05eb12bdebe3d1709e3e5e6d4ec33b7f460 |
| Both Teams to Score | 53¢ | −4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/recoleta-fc-vs-santos-fc-more-markets-both-teams-t-polymarket-0x7c53e9160423d5c01b9ed330530bee3f28bbc550a2c0363064fad9db49f21f69 |
| Recoleta FC (-2.5) | 11¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/recoleta-fc-vs-santos-fc-more-markets-recoleta-fc-polymarket-0x59c79791557e4efa66098d63bddd4a633dfe0673d3ba2cf096c50f2470806901 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 45 |
| 2026-05-02 | 39 |
| 2026-05-03 | 38 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · O/U 2.5 −12pp 53→41¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Santos FC (-2.5) +11pp 12→23¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Recoleta FC (-1.5) +7pp 6→13¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5) −6pp 12→6¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5) −5pp 17→12¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ec-bahia-vs-santos-fc-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=ec-bahia-vs-santos-fc-more-markets

## License

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