# Egypt Premier League

> Winner: Zamalek leads at 52%, runner-up 46% across 7 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 2 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/egypt-premier-league
Updated: 2026-05-09T07:20:25.193Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-31

## Headline

- Leader: Winner: Zamalek at 52%
- Runner-up: Winner: Al Masry at 46%
- Outcomes: 7 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (7 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (7)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner: Zamalek | 52¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/egypt-premier-league-winner-zamalek-polymarket-0xa353a456cf5b20c9d581fdf532d46e25c00524123fce2686d103caffff038360 |
| Winner: Al Masry | 46¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/egypt-premier-league-winner-al-masry-polymarket-0x63bfb92b0646ffa82f3d59f2d2fc6adba5920b03beabd7a8a799ef300dd1a182 |
| Winner: ENPPI | 46¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/egypt-premier-league-winner-enppi-polymarket-0x59e7418dc6763cbe2fc0df10f62863bc1c529fd8bdca36b6e1b254c6c9aed397 |
| Winner: Pyramids FC | 46¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/egypt-premier-league-winner-pyramids-fc-polymarket-0xbf8552809a386d341235407ff3ea8ccaa6366c9ea98eda01308cbee29a6a0db6 |
| Winner: Smouha | 46¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/egypt-premier-league-winner-smouha-polymarket-0x2ef3fd16fe61213a186bfcd003e4b62b1c063fea29e0994f90c7cf5401a101f0 |
| Winner: Al Ahly | 39¢ | −8pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/egypt-premier-league-winner-al-ahly-polymarket-0x171cc93c2da2ea4d88eae546c9290be5656f2c5fb801e248aa4200410f0a4e92 |
| Winner: Ceramica Cleopatra | 39¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/egypt-premier-league-winner-ceramica-cleopatra-polymarket-0x2c7a416bb7e8938f799a26b03c88e1b2b39c5e517259851cb74bcb3ede2dd0b1 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Winner: Zamalek | Winner: Al Masry | Winner: ENPPI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | 49 | — | — |
| 2026-04-28 | 49 | 50 | 50 |
| 2026-05-02 | 48 | 48 | 48 |
| 2026-05-09 | 52 | 46 | 46 |

_13 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-08 · Winner: Al Ahly −8pp 47→39¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-07 · Winner: Ceramica Cleopatra −6pp 42→36¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Winner: Ceramica Cleopatra −4pp 43→39¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-07 · Winner: Zamalek −3pp 50→47¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-08 · Winner: Zamalek +3pp 47→50¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This market tracks the likelihood of a specific outcome in the Egypt Premier League, currently priced at 49% on the leading contract. The probability reflects relatively balanced odds between the frontrunner and near-equivalent alternatives, with substantial disagreement among traders visible in the runner-up sitting at 48%. Market depth appears moderate, with cumulative volume and open interest distributed across multiple contracts. The tight pricing suggests traders are uncertain about resolution, though directional conviction exists given that top alternatives cluster in similar ranges. Upcoming match results, team performance data, and league standings will be primary drivers of repricing. The uncertainty persists because near-term outcomes remain genuinely contested rather than reflecting information gaps alone.

### Key factors

- Current leader and runner-up separated by only 1 percentage point, indicating competitive uncertainty rather than consensus
- Polymarket and Kalshi both show consistent pricing across multiple contract variants (Man City ~39%, Arsenal ~61%), suggesting cross-platform agreement on relative probabilities
- 24-hour volumes exceed $14k across most contracts, showing sustained trader participation but not extreme conviction levels
- Contract structure as multi-outcome winner-take-all means total probability mass must sum to 100% across all seven outcomes
- Upcoming Egypt Premier League matches and final standings will directly determine settlement, making near-term match results the primary repricing catalyst

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/egypt-premier-league
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=egypt-premier-league

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.