# El Gouna SC vs. Kahrabaa Ismailia FC

> El Gouna SC leads at 46%, runner-up 32% across 3 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 6 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/el-gouna-sc-vs-kahrabaa-ismailia-fc
Updated: 2026-05-09T05:05:38.280Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-12

## Headline

- Leader: El Gouna SC at 46%
- Runner-up: Draw (El Gouna SC vs. Kahrabaa Ismailia FC) at 32%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Gouna SC | 46¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/el-gouna-sc-vs-kahrabaa-ismailia-fc-el-gouna-sc-polymarket-0xc95b056c04e84396782ed71fbc8c67b9ccd1014840255fbe3b31f61569da5a1d |
| Draw (El Gouna SC vs. Kahrabaa Ismailia FC) | 32¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/el-gouna-sc-vs-kahrabaa-ismailia-fc-draw-el-gouna-polymarket-0xa95dcd4c3dad5baa53f28baf2fa028aa6743e5a4e0d990d0bca3a42a60836e9f |
| Kahrabaa Ismailia FC | 22¢ | −2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/el-gouna-sc-vs-kahrabaa-ismailia-fc-kahrabaa-ismai-polymarket-0xa955a87f88468e6ebda40bb518189b4a88a63022b17e55c0daebefc23931c8a4 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | El Gouna SC | Draw (El Gouna SC vs. Kahrabaa Ismailia FC) | Kahrabaa Ismailia FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-07 | 38 | 29 | 30 |
| 2026-05-08 | 37 | 29 | 28 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Analysis

El Gouna SC is priced at 39% to win this matchup against Kahrabaa Ismailia FC, reflecting a slight advantage but with meaningful uncertainty around the outcome. This probability suggests the market sees El Gouna as favored but not heavily so, with the remaining 61% distributed between a Kahrabaa victory (30%) and a draw (28%). The odds likely reflect recent team form, head-to-head history, and current league standings in Egyptian football. The contract shows minimal trading volume in the last 24 hours, indicating limited recent conviction changes among traders. Resolution will depend on match performance on the scheduled fixture date, with team lineups, injuries, and on-field execution as the primary determinants of whether El Gouna can convert its marginal advantage into a win.

### Key factors

- El Gouna SC's current league position and recent win/loss record compared to Kahrabaa Ismailia FC
- Head-to-head historical results between these two teams in recent seasons
- Presence or absence of key player injuries or suspensions for either team ahead of the match
- Home vs. away advantage status (whether the match is at El Gouna's or Kahrabaa's stadium)
- Trading volume and directional movement of contract prices in the 48-72 hours preceding the fixture

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/el-gouna-sc-vs-kahrabaa-ismailia-fc
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=el-gouna-sc-vs-kahrabaa-ismailia-fc

## License

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