# El Ittihad SC El Iskandary vs. Petrojet SC - More Markets

> Closed. Last odds frozen 3 d ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/el-ittihad-sc-el-iskandary-vs-petrojet-sc-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-05T18:50:36.705Z
Category: general
Status: historical
Closes: 2026-05-04

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 64%
- Runner-up: Both Teams to Score at 46%
- Outcomes: 9 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (9 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (9)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 64¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/el-ittihad-sc-el-iskandary-vs-petrojet-sc-more-mar-polymarket-0xed02d7886ca8954bd75f924d9b6483337e59f206a8948e69056de3bf62ebd033 |
| Both Teams to Score | 46¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/el-ittihad-sc-el-iskandary-vs-petrojet-sc-more-mar-polymarket-0xf71e9454e7c1451337dd9da9f3459a38a9d07f3932fcb94553de23b4ec348a49 |
| O/U 2.5 | 35¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/el-ittihad-sc-el-iskandary-vs-petrojet-sc-more-mar-polymarket-0x4b6d2130562312d029dfe27e9c5bd58acb115d3037efc644944ab7a3d46f8c84 |
| O/U 3.5 | 17¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/el-ittihad-sc-el-iskandary-vs-petrojet-sc-more-mar-polymarket-0xf0e9037867a30472150394c7fff69013dc3d35672a19a74f8e2f94370c85a07f |
| El Ittihad SC El Iskandary (-1.5) | 16¢ | −3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/el-ittihad-sc-el-iskandary-vs-petrojet-sc-more-mar-polymarket-0x38073a11bff1b591fc41e47535c36712e8bc61d2f28a846f670a39905ef61d69 |
| Petrojet SC (-1.5) | 8¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/el-ittihad-sc-el-iskandary-vs-petrojet-sc-more-mar-polymarket-0x90ef077abed82f230dfc38128bfef5e025c096f879a1de164f8cbad9b4355e4f |
| O/U 4.5 | 7¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/el-ittihad-sc-el-iskandary-vs-petrojet-sc-more-mar-polymarket-0x164686e260a91c3b52741869bb843a08afadb69a3bfd06e15e354221e9780320 |
| El Ittihad SC El Iskandary (-2.5) | 6¢ | −4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/el-ittihad-sc-el-iskandary-vs-petrojet-sc-more-mar-polymarket-0xafb432f0a07f2deb64e3255075e7cd9046d28f570b05ce8d431314d1cf6e8dea |
| Petrojet SC (-2.5) | 6¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/el-ittihad-sc-el-iskandary-vs-petrojet-sc-more-mar-polymarket-0x00ae07d47fa74f76accc145844b58238f3fde6572f976a0b74f77ab57229df12 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | O/U 1.5 | Both Teams to Score | O/U 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 64 | 48 | 36 |
| 2026-05-02 | 63 | 45 | 36 |
| 2026-05-03 | 64 | 45 | 36 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · El Ittihad SC El Iskandary (-2.5) −4pp 11→7¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · El Ittihad SC El Iskandary (-1.5) −3pp 19→16¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · El Ittihad SC El Iskandary (-2.5) −3pp 14→11¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · O/U 4.5 −3pp 12→9¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Both Teams to Score −3pp 48→45¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This market reflects a 46% probability that El Ittihad SC El Iskandary will win against Petrojet SC in an upcoming Egyptian football match. The probability sits closer to a one-in-two outcome than a clear favorite, suggesting moderate uncertainty about the result. Key drivers include each team's recent form, head-to-head history, and current league position. The match itself will resolve this uncertainty when played; the exact fixture date determines the final settlement. Polymarket's limited trading volume across related contracts ($327–$52 per day) indicates relatively thin liquidity, which can amplify price movements from smaller trades. Traders are essentially pricing El Ittihad as a slight underdog or evenly matched contestant against Petrojet, with substantial probability mass allocated to alternative outcomes (the runner-up at 16% suggests draws or Petrojet wins command meaningful probability).

### Key factors

- El Ittihad priced at 46% represents a narrow margin versus Petrojet, not a dominant favorite—outcome depends heavily on squad availability and tactical setup
- The runner-up outcome at 16% indicates this is a multi-outcome contract where draws or Petrojet wins collectively retain 54% probability
- Polymarket 5-contract setup shows thin liquidity ($327 max 24h volume on top contract); sharp moves possible from modest order sizes
- Recent league standings, head-to-head records, and injury reports for both squads would be primary data points analysts use to validate or challenge this price
- Match settlement is binary and date-certain once the fixture is played, eliminating all speculation at that moment

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

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- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=el-ittihad-sc-el-iskandary-vs-petrojet-sc-more-markets

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