# Fredrikstad vs Viking Winner

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 30% across 12 contracts — refreshed 2 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/eliteseriengame
Updated: 2026-05-09T05:50:41.847Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-24

## Headline

- Probability: 30% (liquidity-weighted across 12 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (12 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (12)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viking | 53¢ | +3pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/kfum-oslo-vs-viking-winner-viking-kalshi-kxeliteseriengame-26may10kfuvik-vik |
| Tromsoe | 46¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/tromsoe-vs-molde-winner-tromsoe-kalshi-kxeliteseriengame-26may10tilmfk-til |
| Molde | 21¢ | +4pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/tromsoe-vs-molde-winner-molde-kalshi-kxeliteseriengame-26may10tilmfk-mfk |
| Tie | 24¢ | +4pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/tromsoe-vs-molde-winner-tie-kalshi-kxeliteseriengame-26may10tilmfk-tie |
| Sandefjord | 58¢ | +6pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/sandefjord-vs-kristiansund-winner-sandefjord-kalshi-kxeliteseriengame-26may10sankbk-san |
| Kristiansund | 16¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/sandefjord-vs-kristiansund-winner-kristiansund-kalshi-kxeliteseriengame-26may10sankbk-kbk |
| Tie | 20¢ | +4pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/sandefjord-vs-kristiansund-winner-tie-kalshi-kxeliteseriengame-26may10sankbk-tie |
| KFUM Oslo | 17¢ | +6pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/kfum-oslo-vs-viking-winner-kfum-oslo-kalshi-kxeliteseriengame-26may10kfuvik-kfu |
| Tie | 15¢ | +4pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/kfum-oslo-vs-viking-winner-tie-kalshi-kxeliteseriengame-26may10kfuvik-tie |
| Rosenborg | 29¢ | +14pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/rosenborg-vs-lillestroem-winner-rosenborg-kalshi-kxeliteseriengame-26may10rbklsk-rbk |
| Lillestroem | 37¢ | +17pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/rosenborg-vs-lillestroem-winner-lillestroem-kalshi-kxeliteseriengame-26may10rbklsk-lsk |
| Tie | 22¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/rosenborg-vs-lillestroem-winner-tie-kalshi-kxeliteseriengame-26may10rbklsk-tie |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-07 | 24 |
| 2026-05-08 | 30 |
| 2026-05-09 | 31 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-08 · Lillestroem +17pp 19→36¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-08 · Rosenborg +14pp 15→29¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-08 · Sandefjord +6pp 49→55¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-08 · KFUM Oslo +6pp 13→19¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-08 · Tromsoe +4pp 41→45¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/eliteseriengame
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=eliteseriengame

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.