# Telstar vs Sparta Winner

> Closed. Final outcome: Tie. Last odds frozen 10 h ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/eredivisiegame
Updated: 2026-05-04T06:20:20.581Z
Category: general
Status: resolved

## Headline

- Probability: 32% (liquidity-weighted across 6 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (6 contracts)
- 24h volume: $75K
- Resolved: Tie

## Bound contracts (6)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enschede | 84¢ | +2pp | $20K | kalshi | /markets/alkmaar-vs-enschede-winner-enschede-kalshi-kxeredivisiegame-26may03azatwe-twe |
| Sparta | 17¢ | +2pp | $14K | kalshi | /markets/sparta-vs-ga-eagles-winner-sparta-kalshi-kxeredivisiegame-26may03spagae-spa |
| Tie | 14¢ | +2pp | $13K | kalshi | /markets/alkmaar-vs-enschede-winner-tie-kalshi-kxeredivisiegame-26may03azatwe-tie |
| GA Eagles | 11¢ | +2pp | $12K | kalshi | /markets/sparta-vs-ga-eagles-winner-ga-eagles-kalshi-kxeredivisiegame-26may03spagae-gae |
| Tie | 57¢ | +1pp | $8K | kalshi | /markets/sparta-vs-ga-eagles-winner-tie-kalshi-kxeredivisiegame-26may03spagae-tie |
| Alkmaar | 8¢ | +2pp | $8K | kalshi | /markets/alkmaar-vs-enschede-winner-alkmaar-kalshi-kxeredivisiegame-26may03azatwe-aza |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | 30 |
| 2026-05-01 | 31 |
| 2026-05-02 | 31 |
| 2026-05-03 | 37 |

_4 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/eredivisiegame
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=eredivisiegame

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.