# Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CA Talleres

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 29% across 15 contracts — refreshed 5 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/estudiantes-de-la-plata-vs-ca-talleres
Updated: 2026-05-03T18:05:53.061Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 29% (liquidity-weighted across 15 contracts)
- Cross-venue: Kalshi 30% / Polymarket 28% — 2pp spread
- 24h volume: $12

## Bound contracts (15)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estudiantes La Plata | 37¢ | — | $7 | kalshi | /markets/cusco-vs-estudiantes-la-plata-winner-estudiantes-l-kalshi-kxconmebollibgame-26may06cuselp-elp |
| Cusco FC | 34¢ | ±0 | $5 | polymarket | /markets/cusco-fc-vs-estudiantes-de-la-plata-cusco-fc-polymarket-0xbfcfaff01cee181f0bf335852e9201ff6f23906efbefcead3d34de4d1867b47e |
| Estudiantes de La Plata | 39¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cusco-fc-vs-estudiantes-de-la-plata-estudiantes-de-polymarket-0x6e16dc28cac52b4cee6f16eb8231e6d3a5053cbc99487b9d92d69b524dfa68d7 |
| O/U 1.5 | 65¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cusco-fc-vs-estudiantes-de-la-plata-more-markets-o-polymarket-0x5a357fd5e5b4f4b3c292234d51c5abddcf53843f4fc37d6da52e749e4a1ae2d8 |
| O/U 2.5 | 39¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cusco-fc-vs-estudiantes-de-la-plata-more-markets-o-polymarket-0x21404a09e0d720a9cb71040ddde025d49ca327df173335b1a5867185fca21e39 |
| O/U 3.5 | 19¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cusco-fc-vs-estudiantes-de-la-plata-more-markets-o-polymarket-0xa6a15833c581768a002f01eb488618a87caaa83aa844b681a58eff1ba0332cf5 |
| O/U 4.5 | 13¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cusco-fc-vs-estudiantes-de-la-plata-more-markets-o-polymarket-0x85655ce178862105d744d537a01a7dc103ead9e540db5e64127c181942a3e0c8 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cusco-fc-vs-estudiantes-de-la-plata-more-markets-b-polymarket-0xc3eb9b4a15caac51db69e318b2a5f5171b03f8f9b1510d80f15a712973f7d2bb |
| Draw (Cusco FC vs. Estudiantes de La Plata) | 29¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cusco-fc-vs-estudiantes-de-la-plata-draw-cusco-fc-polymarket-0xb90ef33802d81fe76d7bc70ce20e08a3db8b9836281548323ec9ffc8421c89c2 |
| Cusco FC (-2.5) | 11¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cusco-fc-vs-estudiantes-de-la-plata-more-markets-c-polymarket-0x8b94a2509812397cc85e1c647ddea04b71fe3cf51ddf98ec6148de3a49b5391e |
| Estudiantes de La Plata (-2.5) | 12¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cusco-fc-vs-estudiantes-de-la-plata-more-markets-e-polymarket-0xb7999bbb6f827da87881ba43c9f38b587d30f70a89f39f367ddd2ffb26d65ff6 |
| Cusco FC (-1.5) | 12¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cusco-fc-vs-estudiantes-de-la-plata-more-markets-c-polymarket-0x413b3282f41f1ebe3e0b68a359bc46360565eb963fd99e6d503c33c580dea054 |
| Estudiantes de La Plata (-1.5) | 17¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cusco-fc-vs-estudiantes-de-la-plata-more-markets-e-polymarket-0xedbf9830a33f8b754e3d46edd1a8faf0db2532a9c6a68dd43db47330b2f1a9d2 |
| Cusco | 28¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/cusco-vs-estudiantes-la-plata-winner-cusco-kalshi-kxconmebollibgame-26may06cuselp-cus |
| Tie | 26¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/cusco-vs-estudiantes-la-plata-winner-tie-kalshi-kxconmebollibgame-26may06cuselp-tie |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | 33 |
| 2026-05-03 | 27 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/estudiantes-de-la-plata-vs-ca-talleres
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=estudiantes-de-la-plata-vs-ca-talleres

## License

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