# Ethereum price at Apr 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT

> Closed. Final outcome: $2,050 to 2,089.99. Last odds frozen 5 d ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/eth
Updated: 2026-06-12T01:20:51.409Z
Category: crypto · Topic: bitcoin
Status: historical
Closes: 2026-06-12

## Headline

- Leader: $1,650 to 1,689.99 at 23%
- Runner-up: $1,610 to 1,649.99 at 18%
- Outcomes: 7 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (7 contracts)
- 24h volume: $3K
- Resolved: $2,050 to 2,089.99

## Bound contracts (7)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1,650 to 1,689.99 | 23¢ | +2pp | $301 | kalshi | /markets/ethereum-price-at-jun-12-2026-at-5pm-edt-1650-to-1-kalshi-kxeth-26jun1217-b1670 |
| $1,610 to 1,649.99 | 18¢ | −4pp | $1K | kalshi | /markets/ethereum-price-at-jun-12-2026-at-5pm-edt-1610-to-1-kalshi-kxeth-26jun1217-b1630 |
| $1,690 to 1,729.99 | 14¢ | ±0 | $222 | kalshi | /markets/ethereum-price-at-jun-12-2026-at-5pm-edt-1690-to-1-kalshi-kxeth-26jun1217-b1710 |
| $1,730 to 1,769.99 | 4¢ | −2pp | $410 | kalshi | /markets/ethereum-price-at-jun-12-2026-at-5pm-edt-1730-to-1-kalshi-kxeth-26jun1217-b1750 |
| $1,570 to 1,609.99 | 3¢ | −2pp | $334 | kalshi | /markets/ethereum-price-at-jun-12-2026-at-5pm-edt-1570-to-1-kalshi-kxeth-26jun1217-b1590 |
| $1,530 to 1,569.99 | 3¢ | −5pp | $329 | kalshi | /markets/ethereum-price-at-jun-12-2026-at-5pm-edt-1530-to-1-kalshi-kxeth-26jun1217-b1550 |
| $1,450 to 1,489.99 | 3¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/ethereum-price-at-jun-12-2026-at-5pm-edt-1450-to-1-kalshi-kxeth-26jun1217-b1470 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | $1,650 to 1,689.99 | $1,610 to 1,649.99 | $1,690 to 1,729.99 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-05 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
| 2026-06-10 | 17 | 17 | 10 |
| 2026-06-11 | 19 | 13 | 10 |

_7 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-06-10 · $1,610 to 1,649.99 +6pp 11→17¢ · kalshi
- 2026-06-11 · $1,530 to 1,569.99 −5pp 9→4¢ · kalshi
- 2026-06-11 · $1,610 to 1,649.99 −4pp 17→13¢ · kalshi
- 2026-06-10 · $1,730 to 1,769.99 −4pp 9→5¢ · kalshi
- 2026-06-10 · $1,570 to 1,609.99 +4pp 11→15¢ · kalshi

## Analysis

This represents a 67% market probability that Ethereum will trade between $2,000 and $2,039.99 on May 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT. The leading probability reflects trader expectations that Ethereum will remain within a relatively tight mid-range band. The current level is primarily driven by recent price stability and open interest concentrated in the $1,960–$2,040 range across multiple contract dates. Key factors pushing this probability include macro conditions affecting crypto valuations and near-term technical support levels. The main uncertainty resolver will be actual Ethereum spot price on the specified date; traders are also monitoring adjacent price bins ($1,960–$1,999.99 and $2,040–$2,079.99), which together account for 24% probability, indicating meaningful disagreement on whether Ethereum will break above or below the leading range.

### Key factors

- Highest trading volume ($689 24h) concentrated in the $1,960–$1,999.99 bin, suggesting floor support but lower conviction than the leader
- The $2,000–$2,039.99 contract trades at 66¢ on Kalshi versus adjacent ranges at 18¢ and 6¢, indicating strong consensus for this specific band
- Multiple contracts reference June 5, 2026 at lower probabilities, showing traders expect either resolution by May 30 or potential price drift outside current ranges over six days
- The 11-contract structure creates winner-take-all dynamics; any price outcome outside $1,880–$2,079.99 would shift probability sharply to an unrepresented bin
- Total Kalshi volume across top five contracts is $1,684 over 24 hours, reflecting active but not exceptionally deep liquidity for this specific event

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/eth
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=eth
- Topic hub: https://simplefunctions.dev/predictions/bitcoin

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