# Will Euro area GDP growth rate QoQ flash for Q1 2026 be above 0.7%

> Closed. Last odds frozen 8 d ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ezgdpqoqf
Updated: 2026-05-30T19:20:12.869Z
Category: economy · Topic: recession
Status: historical
Closes: 2026-06-05

## Headline

- Leader: Above 0.0% at 89%
- Runner-up: Above 0.1% at 4%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $10

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 0.0% | 89¢ | −2pp | $5 | kalshi | /markets/will-euro-area-gdp-growth-rate-qoq-flash-for-q1-20-kalshi-kxezgdpqoqf-26jun05-t0.0 |
| Above 0.1% | 4¢ | −14pp | $5 | kalshi | /markets/will-euro-area-gdp-growth-rate-qoq-flash-for-q1-20-kalshi-kxezgdpqoqf-26jun05-t0.1 |
| Above 0.3% | 4¢ | −1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-euro-area-gdp-growth-rate-qoq-flash-for-q1-20-kalshi-kxezgdpqoqf-26jun05-t0.3 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Above 0.0% | Above 0.1% | Above 0.3% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | 26 | 18 | 3 |
| 2026-05-17 | 10 | 4 | 3 |
| 2026-05-24 | 84 | — | 4 |
| 2026-05-25 | 91 | — | — |
| 2026-05-29 | 88 | — | 3 |

_8 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

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- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=ezgdpqoqf
- Topic hub: https://simplefunctions.dev/predictions/recession

## License

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