# Who will win the 2026 F1 Championship?

> Spain leads at 16%, runner-up 16% across 3 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 30 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/f1-champion-2026
Updated: 2026-06-08T07:20:11.943Z
Category: sports
Status: active
Closes: 2026-07-20

## Headline

- Leader: Spain at 16%
- Runner-up: Spain at 16%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $1.9M

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France | 16¢ | −1pp | $584K | polymarket | /markets/world-cup-winner-france-polymarket-0x9b6fef249040fd17e9c107955b37ac2c3e923509b6b0ff01cc463a331ddeb894 |
| Spain | 16¢ | −1pp | $437K | polymarket | /markets/world-cup-winner-spain-polymarket-0x7976b8dbacf9077eb1453a62bcefd6ab2df199acd28aad276ff0d920d6992892 |
| Germany | 5¢ | −1pp | $833K | polymarket | /markets/world-cup-winner-germany-polymarket-0x1595b4818eeb1ea1e0bec5de6f057218e557feee9b405a0e930d290384fa1d16 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | France | Spain | Germany |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | — | 16 | — |
| 2026-05-10 | 18 | — | — |
| 2026-05-14 | — | 17 | — |
| 2026-05-26 | 17 | — | — |
| 2026-05-31 | 17 | — | 6 |
| 2026-06-01 | — | — | 6 |
| 2026-06-02 | — | 16 | — |
| 2026-06-04 | 16 | — | 5 |
| 2026-06-06 | — | — | 6 |
| 2026-06-07 | — | — | 5 |

_14 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/f1-champion-2026
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=f1-champion-2026

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.