# Miami Grand Prix Sprint Race

> Fastest Lap: Lando Norris leads at 97%, runner-up 96% across 17 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 3 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/f1sprinttop10
Updated: 2026-05-03T19:20:53.753Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Leader: Fastest Lap: Lando Norris at 97%
- Runner-up: Podium Finishers: Andrea Kimi Antonelli at 96%
- Outcomes: 17 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (17 contracts)
- 24h volume: $2.8M

## Bound contracts (17)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastest Lap: Lando Norris | 97¢ | −4pp | $13K | kalshi | /markets/miami-grand-prix-fastest-lap-lando-norris-kalshi-kxf1fastlap-miagp26-nor |
| Podium Finishers: Andrea Kimi Antonelli | 96¢ | +11pp | $18K | kalshi | /markets/miami-grand-prix-podium-finishers-andrea-kimi-anto-kalshi-kxf1racepodium-miagp26-ant |
| Andrea Kimi Antonelli | 95¢ | +10pp | $817K | kalshi | /markets/miami-grand-prix-winner-andrea-kimi-antonelli-kalshi-kxf1race-miagp26-ant |
| Top 10 Finishers: Andrea Kimi Antonelli | 92¢ | +20pp | $8K | kalshi | /markets/miami-grand-prix-top-10-finishers-andrea-kimi-anto-kalshi-kxf1top10-miagp26-ant |
| Podium Finishers: Lando Norris | 91¢ | −7pp | $46K | kalshi | /markets/miami-grand-prix-podium-finishers-lando-norris-kalshi-kxf1racepodium-miagp26-nor |
| Podium Finishers: Charles Leclerc | 90¢ | +11pp | $37K | kalshi | /markets/miami-grand-prix-podium-finishers-charles-leclerc-kalshi-kxf1racepodium-miagp26-lec |
| Top 10 Finishers: Franco Colapinto | 85¢ | +15pp | $1K | kalshi | /markets/miami-grand-prix-top-10-finishers-franco-colapinto-kalshi-kxf1top10-miagp26-col |
| Podium Finishers: Lewis Hamilton | 34¢ | −2pp | $11K | kalshi | /markets/miami-grand-prix-podium-finishers-lewis-hamilton-kalshi-kxf1racepodium-miagp26-ham |
| Max Verstappen | 15¢ | +11pp | $675K | kalshi | /markets/miami-grand-prix-winner-max-verstappen-kalshi-kxf1race-miagp26-ver |
| Fastest Lap: Andrea Kimi Antonelli | 10¢ | +6pp | $14K | kalshi | /markets/miami-grand-prix-fastest-lap-andrea-kimi-antonelli-kalshi-kxf1fastlap-miagp26-ant |
| Podium Finishers: George Russell | 8¢ | +7pp | $9K | kalshi | /markets/miami-grand-prix-podium-finishers-george-russell-kalshi-kxf1racepodium-miagp26-rus |
| Podium Finishers: Max Verstappen | 7¢ | +33pp | $50K | kalshi | /markets/miami-grand-prix-podium-finishers-max-verstappen-kalshi-kxf1racepodium-miagp26-ver |
| Charles Leclerc | 5¢ | +4pp | $244K | kalshi | /markets/miami-grand-prix-winner-charles-leclerc-kalshi-kxf1race-miagp26-lec |
| Podium Finishers: Oscar Piastri | 5¢ | −18pp | $26K | kalshi | /markets/miami-grand-prix-podium-finishers-oscar-piastri-kalshi-kxf1racepodium-miagp26-pia |
| Fastest Lap: George Russell | 5¢ | −1pp | $5K | kalshi | /markets/miami-grand-prix-fastest-lap-george-russell-kalshi-kxf1fastlap-miagp26-rus |
| Lando Norris | 3¢ | −15pp | $706K | kalshi | /markets/miami-grand-prix-winner-lando-norris-kalshi-kxf1race-miagp26-nor |
| George Russell | 3¢ | −3pp | $130K | kalshi | /markets/miami-grand-prix-winner-george-russell-kalshi-kxf1race-miagp26-rus |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Fastest Lap: Lando Norris | Podium Finishers: Andrea Kimi Antonelli | Andrea Kimi Antonelli |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | 2 | 71 | 38 |
| 2026-04-17 | 5 | 73 | — |
| 2026-04-19 | — | 75 | 36 |
| 2026-04-24 | 5 | 78 | 34 |
| 2026-04-26 | — | 77 | 34 |
| 2026-05-03 | 13 | 71 | 38 |

_24 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-01 · Top 10 Finishers: Andrea Kimi Antonelli −71pp 86→15¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-02 · Top 10 Finishers: Andrea Kimi Antonelli +40pp 15→55¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · Podium Finishers: Max Verstappen +33pp 24→57¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-02 · Podium Finishers: George Russell −25pp 58→33¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · Top 10 Finishers: Andrea Kimi Antonelli +20pp 55→75¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/f1sprinttop10
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=f1sprinttop10

## License

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