# FC Anyang vs. Ulsan HD FC

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 29% across 19 contracts — refreshed 3 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/fc-anyang-vs-ulsan-hd-fc
Updated: 2026-05-03T14:05:24.879Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 29% (liquidity-weighted across 19 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (19 contracts)
- 24h volume: $266

## Bound contracts (19)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Seoul | 56¢ | +5pp | $103 | polymarket | /markets/fc-seoul-vs-fc-anyang-fc-seoul-polymarket-0x83fd307f0f8ee4dd6da72fd204a4c072d79a3d752ea84d2bd9228021e1016ea6 |
| Ulsan HD FC | 36¢ | +2pp | $86 | polymarket | /markets/gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-ulsan-hd-fc-ulsan-hd-fc-polymarket-0x7f5e73a1e1d8ef935c37b02bfa22007d8fdbfefe92f85d66f2fffcb07a73c050 |
| O/U 1.5 | 73¢ | ±0 | $25 | polymarket | /markets/gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-ulsan-hd-fc-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0x958037183bbbe9c19389945a89a0123d13bd75f0cbc4bf48a9c88a4f8669d5e6 |
| O/U 2.5 | 47¢ | −2pp | $25 | polymarket | /markets/gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-ulsan-hd-fc-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0xc2ca5022ecefa00d5fdb377dcf1eba34cb1973d86b75b22e40122dd29ca651b6 |
| Draw (FC Seoul vs. FC Anyang) | 26¢ | −1pp | $10 | polymarket | /markets/fc-seoul-vs-fc-anyang-draw-fc-seoul-vs-fc-anyang-polymarket-0x2238da8b647a5fa579969c85e975871969923363b5eb17b85845190746729582 |
| Draw (Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Ulsan HD FC) | 28¢ | −1pp | $9 | polymarket | /markets/gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-ulsan-hd-fc-draw-gimcheon-sa-polymarket-0xce05614d03ca739ac993c8183c252089449df98b1a94e557415259d5e12facdf |
| O/U 4.5 | 13¢ | −1pp | $8 | polymarket | /markets/gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-ulsan-hd-fc-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0x6bf7a43e176741b749890f4c3a5d781f0da3fb7ef5bc2476a1494d53c83df057 |
| FC Anyang | 18¢ | −2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-seoul-vs-fc-anyang-fc-anyang-polymarket-0x6f7ad71d9944343c5f87b51fe2484f89c0c9508435c79e4f6983cb618b95acce |
| FC Seoul (-1.5) | 28¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-seoul-vs-fc-anyang-more-markets-fc-seoul-15-polymarket-0x756747e4314d045f8135590fa43d91e2818f9f6e9e6829449ec67b0a7b1d4a02 |
| O/U 1.5 | 71¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-seoul-vs-fc-anyang-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0x89cfce598695c7ed44795b0339921b8aea79461dd382ef5a305c2a435462d97c |
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 36¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-ulsan-hd-fc-gimcheon-sangmu-polymarket-0x24402c66279d4c6af70519b7aacf7d2621ac15bc7c7e8357fe3f57e5aa071a29 |
| O/U 4.5 | 9¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-seoul-vs-fc-anyang-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0x486d108e3eba44ead6b95f1fdd51f746ad31f9b4985a518771e30762002beda9 |
| FC Seoul (-2.5) | 11¢ | +7pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-seoul-vs-fc-anyang-more-markets-fc-seoul-25-polymarket-0x5631346af4ffc8c21b4da628974402f523670bca565438b0318227e0b3694cc0 |
| Ulsan HD FC (-1.5) | 14¢ | −5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-ulsan-hd-fc-more-markets-uls-polymarket-0x23088dff136de91533ed17ab39f8707f8cd20755d34b4c84ea6bbad37cff3169 |
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-1.5) | 14¢ | −6pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-ulsan-hd-fc-more-markets-gim-polymarket-0xcd6e1510f447a1f0ba07a0e99153075bb607b79da6f84b452c753ef4ad0b79ca |
| Ulsan HD FC (-2.5) | 5¢ | −7pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-ulsan-hd-fc-more-markets-uls-polymarket-0x468b9803cded8b468608aba0be9302d4a9600f32853e62e4522cad9451855e2f |
| O/U 2.5 | 46¢ | −7pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-seoul-vs-fc-anyang-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0xd26be67eb8063684a18f894ad63acd1640f9b8eca67301985d331e2336b9ae86 |
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-2.5) | 5¢ | −7pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-ulsan-hd-fc-more-markets-gim-polymarket-0x6d870aef7877b3c939278596272a6768ebfb6aaa0242da17f9ab468d58c698af |
| O/U 3.5 | 23¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-seoul-vs-fc-anyang-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0x73afd8a5d2d9b2cbfbb91d60ec14fcd032183c6dc4706c4f39d6d4a2f93a14c3 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 37 |
| 2026-05-02 | 33 |
| 2026-05-03 | 32 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · Ulsan HD FC (-2.5) −24pp 37→13¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-2.5) −22pp 35→13¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Ulsan HD FC (-1.5) −16pp 36→20¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-1.5) −11pp 31→20¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Draw (Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Ulsan HD FC) −9pp 38→29¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

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## License

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