# FC Gifu vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC - More Markets

> O/U 1.5 leads at 65%, runner-up 52% across 9 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 13 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/fc-gifu-vs-matsumoto-yamaga-fc-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-03T14:20:21.188Z
Category: general · Topic: trump
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-06

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 65%
- Runner-up: O/U 2.5 at 52%
- Outcomes: 9 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (9 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (9)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 65¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-gifu-vs-matsumoto-yamaga-fc-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0xe897e50d7baaa8c1d5c4fd529fcb12245c25e1169e9f4b010bcb870b0cb145d0 |
| O/U 2.5 | 52¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-gifu-vs-matsumoto-yamaga-fc-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0x99c50343946e8b33ee41d8c1c5162c6cc993dadadb0ffed6ee05f95784386f42 |
| Both Teams to Score | 47¢ | −2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-gifu-vs-matsumoto-yamaga-fc-more-markets-both-t-polymarket-0x14ea8881e0ff991b7eac70c6ccd9ae80d585a7218622d7c937f1335dcb9ff55f |
| O/U 3.5 | 36¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-gifu-vs-matsumoto-yamaga-fc-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0x3a25257752ae203ce7e44aaf9f83b67e7af6cee3a7fff4ce75b267ea89272e6c |
| Matsumoto Yamaga FC (-1.5) | 33¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-gifu-vs-matsumoto-yamaga-fc-more-markets-matsum-polymarket-0x17df3fdd9ae468ca339d552365e8b3fcb832dc058c848ee984ec609927e93a78 |
| FC Gifu (-2.5) | 33¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-gifu-vs-matsumoto-yamaga-fc-more-markets-fc-gif-polymarket-0x357eb004b00c13faa2a3d4747cdaf5e3560c72bd526a9fd60c94b0b22de95b1a |
| FC Gifu (-1.5) | 32¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-gifu-vs-matsumoto-yamaga-fc-more-markets-fc-gif-polymarket-0xc2a30acf8595cda38cdf9ddce26e0d8d591c59ed085c912592d0a8027540e6c8 |
| Matsumoto Yamaga FC (-2.5) | 29¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-gifu-vs-matsumoto-yamaga-fc-more-markets-matsum-polymarket-0x1852d18e0a0dafb61e1e56b56bbf939e15f90a9fda5e851a5b6fd6dee03e1f72 |
| O/U 4.5 | 28¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-gifu-vs-matsumoto-yamaga-fc-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0x0aa1722974d0d761f7018efffe974ca6abd0209d5e331d478e2af3d9fc3d3ef6 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | O/U 1.5 | O/U 2.5 | Both Teams to Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | — | 51 | 50 |
| 2026-05-03 | 60 | 52 | 48 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Matsumoto Yamaga FC (-1.5) +4pp 33→37¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · FC Gifu (-2.5) +4pp 32→36¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · FC Gifu (-1.5) +3pp 39→42¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This represents traders' estimate that both FC Gifu and Matsumoto Yamaga FC will each score at least one goal in their upcoming match. At 47%, this outcome is priced as more likely than not, suggesting moderate confidence in a competitive, open game rather than a low-scoring or one-sided result. The probability reflects expectations about both teams' offensive capability and defensive vulnerabilities. An increase would follow if recent form data shows both squads scoring consistently; a decrease would occur if injury reports or lineup changes suggest either team's attacking options are compromised. The match itself will resolve all uncertainty once played, making team news and recent performance trends the primary drivers of any shifts in the coming days.

### Key factors

- Recent goal-scoring records for both FC Gifu and Matsumoto Yamaga FC in their last 5–10 matches
- Current injury status or roster changes affecting either team's primary strikers or defensive starters
- Head-to-head scoring patterns in previous matchups between these two clubs
- League position and offensive/defensive efficiency rankings as of early May 2026
- Scheduled match date and any weather or venue factors that historically affect scoring volume in this competition

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

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- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=fc-gifu-vs-matsumoto-yamaga-fc-more-markets
- Topic hub: https://simplefunctions.dev/predictions/trump

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