# FC Imabari vs. Kataller Toyama

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 42% across 20 contracts — refreshed 11 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/fc-imabari-vs-kataller-toyama
Updated: 2026-05-03T15:05:52.699Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 42% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 4.5 | 28¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kataller-toyama-vs-kamatamare-sanuki-more-markets-polymarket-0xa9a0068043b8f70080dad1cbc72d232ee9b5278c21d12cbe3171107996419c94 |
| Both Teams to Score | 51¢ | −2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kataller-toyama-vs-kamatamare-sanuki-more-markets-polymarket-0x881f458b76b6d561d43503c7cd0869a8463961c1787a43e52fbd1a62614fdeb3 |
| O/U 2.5 | 53¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kataller-toyama-vs-kamatamare-sanuki-more-markets-polymarket-0xd108598c1ea2939d8259c617ee6673d2e2fed06854c85b27ae25acd6fedf62db |
| Kamatamare Sanuki (-1.5) | 33¢ | +5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kataller-toyama-vs-kamatamare-sanuki-more-markets-polymarket-0x7056f531d96671721afb19c5a038b9d973f574c79db67cf4d81f5a6b9448f07f |
| Kamatamare Sanuki (-2.5) | 35¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kataller-toyama-vs-kamatamare-sanuki-more-markets-polymarket-0x082d3e01da8d253e5a272d4cd3690c1011213f63ab17c56889157506f1b09b88 |
| Kataller Toyama (-2.5) | 33¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kataller-toyama-vs-kamatamare-sanuki-more-markets-polymarket-0xa0c83bf391689cbf2fc8d3ad23a5796325c0208db0cd0105f360029a80332708 |
| Kataller Toyama | 51¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kataller-toyama-vs-kamatamare-sanuki-kataller-toya-polymarket-0x5261c5f1e660386369447ac4038da9e607a77c60bcfc1b51a0266a804e60e1bc |
| Draw (Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki) | 35¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kataller-toyama-vs-kamatamare-sanuki-draw-kataller-polymarket-0x8f340f850f574528867aa136e288e6561722234fd71d8cbe2c6ba016cecc1ee8 |
| O/U 1.5 | 65¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kataller-toyama-vs-kamatamare-sanuki-more-markets-polymarket-0x487003b2e76ea36e00d19dcba6a1aee382087a80290c4b63b9459cc40c9c01fe |
| Kamatamare Sanuki | 37¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kataller-toyama-vs-kamatamare-sanuki-kamatamare-sa-polymarket-0xd66617eb5856f7b6df026efbc92021859499a327e268de16f53eca1676409bbd |
| O/U 3.5 | 36¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kataller-toyama-vs-kamatamare-sanuki-more-markets-polymarket-0x63efb6b309c0e7d7e5b59f8266e8ad812a54926b3184f322adf0dadefd240204 |
| Kataller Toyama (-1.5) | 33¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kataller-toyama-vs-kamatamare-sanuki-more-markets-polymarket-0xa18b4aeaa1b53e7d32e9fb7c48098547da2808cc3e72e8a48824b4fd2cd09f97 |
| FC Imabari (-2.5) | 33¢ | +6pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-imabari-vs-kchi-united-sc-more-markets-fc-imaba-polymarket-0xc5e536f73960d338255762912c2cb36105eb7da32baf3b1e3a6f916aa8de58b4 |
| Kōchi United SC (-2.5) | 35¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-imabari-vs-kchi-united-sc-more-markets-kchi-uni-polymarket-0xf3fbcae87d390cd786a36fce1ac11809719a0894f22d8783fadee1cfcaf0ff30 |
| FC Imabari | 49¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-imabari-vs-kchi-united-sc-fc-imabari-polymarket-0x6d33f07ea0195b4f34923cc9d6e7c87a83e957db63a804f9af8d65599eb9d8c4 |
| Both Teams to Score | 47¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-imabari-vs-kchi-united-sc-more-markets-both-tea-polymarket-0x55d84703f5f54bc1159a129e1c2ecc16fceb3cd10ddede2e1a60c796d392096b |
| O/U 3.5 | 41¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-imabari-vs-kchi-united-sc-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0x58385daf88ca47fa200b7d8f644073a7f5d65f7f79076ce514b59fe11065685c |
| O/U 1.5 | 65¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-imabari-vs-kchi-united-sc-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0xf48e4bd6e403f37de521156a00891c2cf966681a80ae63e84a411c37c92c939a |
| O/U 2.5 | 52¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-imabari-vs-kchi-united-sc-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0xa5ce223bf8232c5c2f8d4aae04ac65431b401310234dea268d56354b4bec337e |
| Draw (FC Imabari vs. Kōchi United SC) | 35¢ | −6pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-imabari-vs-kchi-united-sc-draw-fc-imabari-vs-kc-polymarket-0xb3b0e4e68f5afd9a71834ea85ac66626d3256ac9ce9c65a7c013491674b49976 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 39 |
| 2026-05-02 | 42 |
| 2026-05-03 | 44 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · FC Imabari +13pp 32→45¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · FC Imabari (-2.5) +6pp 32→38¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Draw (FC Imabari vs. Kōchi United SC) −6pp 34→28¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Kamatamare Sanuki (-1.5) +5pp 33→38¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Draw (FC Imabari vs. Kōchi United SC) −5pp 39→34¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

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## License

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