# FC Machida Zelvia vs. Yokohama F·Marinos - More Markets: FC Machida Zelvia (-2.5)

> Closed. Last odds frozen 1 d ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/fc-machida-zelvia-vs-yokohama-fmarinos-more-markets-fc
Updated: 2026-05-07T06:35:43.886Z
Category: general
Status: historical
Closes: 2026-05-06

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 73%
- Runner-up: Both Teams to Score at 51%
- Outcomes: 9 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (9 contracts)
- 24h volume: $494

## Bound contracts (9)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 73¢ | ±0 | $4 | polymarket | /markets/fc-machida-zelvia-vs-yokohama-fmarinos-more-market-polymarket-0x55c4f82164c5327e31ce158ae1f097ead55f59a744f11cef1a7e37c9cad3292a |
| Both Teams to Score | 51¢ | −21pp | $186 | polymarket | /markets/fc-machida-zelvia-vs-yokohama-fmarinos-more-market-polymarket-0x3f4aee4f0bd42c560dbc0bd1ce71f7af824e265312731cf81bb2cbc6191b054d |
| O/U 2.5 | 48¢ | −13pp | $10 | polymarket | /markets/fc-machida-zelvia-vs-yokohama-fmarinos-more-market-polymarket-0x59499bef9849261e4b9a1ed19b402cdaad03979d63037448d867f53f325f4dcd |
| FC Machida Zelvia (-1.5) | 30¢ | −4pp | $263 | polymarket | /markets/fc-machida-zelvia-vs-yokohama-fmarinos-more-market-polymarket-0xeace316b41b9dae690248b38ddfa3b76f12e3376670c4810d39cc85d331b0b5c |
| O/U 3.5 | 26¢ | — | $30 | polymarket | /markets/fc-machida-zelvia-vs-yokohama-fmarinos-more-market-polymarket-0x370751f97151c1dba8a99a75e06a4b64f63102fc30f33f53f88590aa42a2ca9a |
| O/U 4.5 | 13¢ | −29pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-machida-zelvia-vs-yokohama-fmarinos-more-market-polymarket-0x2d1ff3b3fa076446bfd24c728f5fe9db7cc136114a04ac3af2700ad1db34fa68 |
| FC Machida Zelvia (-2.5) | 12¢ | −22pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-machida-zelvia-vs-yokohama-fmarinos-more-market-polymarket-0xbe04137a61065209207d8e048618cc97dc1587c58ade0a2218ede2adaf8b65c7 |
| Yokohama F·Marinos (-1.5) | 7¢ | −29pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-machida-zelvia-vs-yokohama-fmarinos-more-market-polymarket-0x19e3cd31b809bdaf4f5af7fa60b75d8615b7f166168caad3b2956db879248204 |
| Yokohama F·Marinos (-2.5) | 4¢ | −31pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-machida-zelvia-vs-yokohama-fmarinos-more-market-polymarket-0x91f635f47aac21a126bfa229b83dc8da2b7fb03b89bcf60c832da1e2848161e3 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | O/U 1.5 | Both Teams to Score | O/U 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | — | 53 | — |
| 2026-05-03 | 61 | 52 | 46 |
| 2026-05-06 | 61 | 31 | 33 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-06 · Yokohama F·Marinos (-2.5) −31pp 37→6¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-06 · O/U 4.5 −29pp 34→5¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-06 · Yokohama F·Marinos (-1.5) −29pp 37→8¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-06 · FC Machida Zelvia (-2.5) −22pp 35→13¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-06 · Both Teams to Score −21pp 52→31¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This market reflects a 32% probability that FC Machida Zelvia will win by more than 2.5 goals against Yokohama F·Marinos. The relatively low probability suggests market participants expect either a close result or a Yokohama victory. J-League 2 matchups typically feature moderate scoring, with defensive capability and recent form being primary drivers of goal-margin outcomes. The market would shift higher if Machida demonstrates strong attacking efficiency or Yokohama's defense shows vulnerabilities; it would move lower if Yokohama's attacking prowess or Machida's defensive inconsistency becomes evident. The match result itself will serve as the definitive catalyst resolving all uncertainty around this specific spread.

### Key factors

- Recent goal-scoring patterns and defensive records for both FC Machida Zelvia and Yokohama F·Marinos in J-League 2 fixtures
- Head-to-head historical results and goal margins between these two clubs
- Team lineup availability, injuries to key attacking or defensive players, and tactical adjustments
- Home/away status and venue performance trends, as goal margins often vary significantly based on location
- Current league standings and momentum, as teams competing for promotion or avoiding relegation typically exhibit different offensive and defensive intensities

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/fc-machida-zelvia-vs-yokohama-fmarinos-more-markets-fc
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=fc-machida-zelvia-vs-yokohama-fmarinos-more-markets-fc

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