# FC Machida Zelvia vs. Yokohama F·Marinos - More Markets

> O/U 1.5 leads at 77%, runner-up 49% across 9 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 8 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/fc-machida-zelvia-vs-yokohama-fmarinos-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-03T16:05:42.955Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-06

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 77%
- Runner-up: Both Teams to Score at 49%
- Outcomes: 9 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (9 contracts)
- 24h volume: $20

## Bound contracts (9)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 77¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-machida-zelvia-vs-yokohama-fmarinos-more-market-polymarket-0x55c4f82164c5327e31ce158ae1f097ead55f59a744f11cef1a7e37c9cad3292a |
| Both Teams to Score | 49¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-machida-zelvia-vs-yokohama-fmarinos-more-market-polymarket-0x3f4aee4f0bd42c560dbc0bd1ce71f7af824e265312731cf81bb2cbc6191b054d |
| O/U 2.5 | 48¢ | — | $12 | polymarket | /markets/fc-machida-zelvia-vs-yokohama-fmarinos-more-market-polymarket-0x59499bef9849261e4b9a1ed19b402cdaad03979d63037448d867f53f325f4dcd |
| FC Machida Zelvia (-1.5) | 28¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-machida-zelvia-vs-yokohama-fmarinos-more-market-polymarket-0xeace316b41b9dae690248b38ddfa3b76f12e3376670c4810d39cc85d331b0b5c |
| O/U 3.5 | 20¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-machida-zelvia-vs-yokohama-fmarinos-more-market-polymarket-0x370751f97151c1dba8a99a75e06a4b64f63102fc30f33f53f88590aa42a2ca9a |
| FC Machida Zelvia (-2.5) | 14¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-machida-zelvia-vs-yokohama-fmarinos-more-market-polymarket-0xbe04137a61065209207d8e048618cc97dc1587c58ade0a2218ede2adaf8b65c7 |
| Yokohama F·Marinos (-1.5) | 12¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-machida-zelvia-vs-yokohama-fmarinos-more-market-polymarket-0x19e3cd31b809bdaf4f5af7fa60b75d8615b7f166168caad3b2956db879248204 |
| O/U 4.5 | 12¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-machida-zelvia-vs-yokohama-fmarinos-more-market-polymarket-0x2d1ff3b3fa076446bfd24c728f5fe9db7cc136114a04ac3af2700ad1db34fa68 |
| Yokohama F·Marinos (-2.5) | 6¢ | +3pp | $8 | polymarket | /markets/fc-machida-zelvia-vs-yokohama-fmarinos-more-market-polymarket-0x91f635f47aac21a126bfa229b83dc8da2b7fb03b89bcf60c832da1e2848161e3 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | O/U 1.5 | Both Teams to Score | O/U 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | — | 53 | — |
| 2026-05-03 | 61 | 52 | 46 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Yokohama F·Marinos (-2.5) +3pp 34→37¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · FC Machida Zelvia (-1.5) +3pp 32→35¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · FC Machida Zelvia (-2.5) +3pp 32→35¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This market is pricing a 53% probability that FC Machida Zelvia will beat Yokohama F·Marinos in an upcoming match. The probability reflects Yokohama's status as favorites (reflected in the 34% runner-up position for a draw or Machida win), likely based on recent form, league standings, or head-to-head history. Resolution depends entirely on the match result whenever it is scheduled. With zero trading volume in the past 24 hours across related contracts, the market shows limited recent activity, suggesting either low trader interest or a fixture date further in the future. The gap between the leading contract (53%) and runner-up (34%) indicates meaningful disagreement about the outcome, though the thin liquidity limits confidence in either position. Key moving factors would include team roster changes, injury updates, or shifts in current league performance between now and kickoff.

### Key factors

- Yokohama F·Marinos implied win probability is approximately 13% based on runner-up position at 34%, indicating Machida is priced as the favorite
- Zero 24-hour trading volume suggests minimal recent market activity or delayed fixture scheduling
- Related markets show Yokohama favored in spread betting (Yokohama -1.5 at 33¢), creating potential inconsistency with the 53% head-to-head probability
- The 19-percentage-point gap between leader (53%) and runner-up (34%) indicates substantial disagreement among traders
- Match outcome is entirely dependent on in-game performance with no intervening data releases or events

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

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- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=fc-machida-zelvia-vs-yokohama-fmarinos-more-markets

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