# FC Midtjylland vs. Viborg FF - More Markets

> O/U 1.5 leads at 84%, runner-up 63% across 9 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 10 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/fc-midtjylland-vs-viborg-ff-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-03T16:20:32.510Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-04

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 84%
- Runner-up: O/U 2.5 at 63%
- Outcomes: 9 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (9 contracts)
- 24h volume: $382

## Bound contracts (9)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 84¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-midtjylland-vs-viborg-ff-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0x690bc0f7785e41a2ce479a31b57de3e5c195222e962774c58096583569795977 |
| O/U 2.5 | 63¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-midtjylland-vs-viborg-ff-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0x43aeb749a63be4b4c4e1789a39496c7d9440b6cfc8590d8fe179ae9482399d66 |
| Both Teams to Score | 59¢ | ±0 | $65 | polymarket | /markets/fc-midtjylland-vs-viborg-ff-more-markets-both-team-polymarket-0xa28be5b331ecf2e1219ca11f0056739001096dfb81d3399913e992d8b291acce |
| O/U 3.5 | 40¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-midtjylland-vs-viborg-ff-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0x043502067b848c4f8add2a8ecabd610b14ef7d2cd52151938a5214015642f522 |
| FC Midtjylland (-1.5) | 38¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-midtjylland-vs-viborg-ff-more-markets-fc-midtjy-polymarket-0xbb6d717661cf8234a1d10bd0b8448dbafd8651969af6a9b2f36cf1e524ed349d |
| O/U 4.5 | 21¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-midtjylland-vs-viborg-ff-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0xbd46d79aa02735ee2d7de94c633ea38d509e2495a11888b1bb6d850d1be0ea7e |
| FC Midtjylland (-2.5) | 19¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-midtjylland-vs-viborg-ff-more-markets-fc-midtjy-polymarket-0xf45bbfa0fe579cbd5dc6dedf0607fdeddc293fe87e83a0cd544050fa6999e4b4 |
| Viborg FF (-1.5) | 7¢ | −2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-midtjylland-vs-viborg-ff-more-markets-viborg-ff-polymarket-0xa24288dbd5cf40dc102298fd7ffbc84c577e50b8893630b3d4b3fc764209ad69 |
| Viborg FF (-2.5) | 3¢ | −3pp | $317 | polymarket | /markets/fc-midtjylland-vs-viborg-ff-more-markets-viborg-ff-polymarket-0x712d796588599cd8efe54febba9b05ff901c1f2b40228c893a3c3a6ef68337f9 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | O/U 1.5 | O/U 2.5 | Both Teams to Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 83 | 63 | 61 |
| 2026-05-02 | 83 | 62 | 60 |
| 2026-05-03 | — | — | 60 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · Viborg FF (-1.5) −4pp 13→9¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Viborg FF (-2.5) −3pp 8→5¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · FC Midtjylland (-2.5) +3pp 15→18¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This market reflects a 35% probability that Viborg FF covers a -2.5 point spread against FC Midtjylland in an upcoming match. The probability is derived from 20 Polymarket contracts with relatively light trading volume ($306 in 24-hour activity), suggesting moderate interest but limited market depth. The spread implies Viborg is favored by approximately 2.5 goals, and the 35% probability indicates the market assesses roughly a one-in-three chance Viborg wins by more than this margin. Resolution depends on the final match result, which will occur on the scheduled fixture date. Key drivers include current team form, historical head-to-head records, injury status of key players, and home/away advantage. Shifts in the probability would likely reflect updated information about team composition or recent performance data prior to kickoff.

### Key factors

- Viborg FF's recent win-loss record and goal differential in their last 5-10 matches compared to FC Midtjylland's performance over the same period
- Historical head-to-head results between the two teams, including goal-scoring patterns and whether either team consistently covers large spreads
- Confirmed injury reports or roster changes for key offensive or defensive players on either squad before the match date
- Home/away status and venue characteristics, as teams often perform differently with field advantage
- Trading volume and contract liquidity ($306 24h volume suggests limited market participation, which may indicate uncertainty about whether the 35% reflects true consensus

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/fc-midtjylland-vs-viborg-ff-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=fc-midtjylland-vs-viborg-ff-more-markets

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