# FC Tōkyō vs. FC Mito Holly Hock - More Markets: FC Mito Holly Hock (-2.5)

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 27% across 20 contracts — refreshed 7 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/fc-tky-vs-fc-mito-holly-hock-more-markets-fc-mito-holly
Updated: 2026-05-03T13:20:03.661Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 27% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $10

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tōkyō Verdy (-1.5) | 9¢ | −2pp | $10 | polymarket | /markets/kawasaki-frontale-vs-tky-verdy-more-markets-tky-ve-polymarket-0x2ae2ebd1fd8f36dee4140d1e5d50addade8319b01b9486d126f98e2e54d468c8 |
| FC Mito Holly Hock (-2.5) | 11¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashima-antlers-vs-fc-mito-holly-hock-more-markets-polymarket-0x317f8e4aa158d4dce5c31be35a3b0448d3b55f1f6059334d10dbcd431518e834 |
| Both Teams to Score | 46¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashima-antlers-vs-fc-mito-holly-hock-more-markets-polymarket-0x2f00d8efde341336cc233f5c4175ddbcbe2d4044b1fc9bcc51e9a01bd4892029 |
| FC Mito Holly Hock (-1.5) | 11¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashima-antlers-vs-fc-mito-holly-hock-more-markets-polymarket-0x016905fd905ab6ebd041201e664fb909026be7f8d9f37567497caa7e2333b20d |
| O/U 4.5 | 12¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashima-antlers-vs-fc-mito-holly-hock-more-markets-polymarket-0xd385a34c7caf9fbdeb78e6a6a1fbf2a3bb9d25bb3581d7a15f5a72c5cb8717a7 |
| Kashima Antlers (-1.5) | 32¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashima-antlers-vs-fc-mito-holly-hock-more-markets-polymarket-0xe7a530fa7e188edc8caeb8d3e54f96180f11560978d2b034e251dc175cbe9059 |
| Kashima Antlers (-2.5) | 16¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashima-antlers-vs-fc-mito-holly-hock-more-markets-polymarket-0x6b096c2df5914dbbc26c254de76cb2bc7898d91c9fe76d92fc6bf32a7a673965 |
| O/U 2.5 | 46¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashima-antlers-vs-fc-mito-holly-hock-more-markets-polymarket-0x0020fda47604a2d66ffa8e2f9dfaa9a358f4a179d9375a06adca1a6efb5bfde4 |
| O/U 1.5 | 72¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashima-antlers-vs-fc-mito-holly-hock-more-markets-polymarket-0x9a04eb7c5d4b3411c6443be32b0e6c6584cf135d0c4995fc06f4e35889dcc058 |
| O/U 3.5 | 25¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashima-antlers-vs-fc-mito-holly-hock-more-markets-polymarket-0x0810840cd496f74e46af48757e2488c91261f35690040c1d2248f26ca3d55e13 |
| FC Mito Holly Hock | 17¢ | −2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashima-antlers-vs-fc-mito-holly-hock-fc-mito-holl-polymarket-0x7c2edc081c32d05d1211b6e4733f57cf9f4993b2aff68bc1771396191ccb941e |
| Draw (Kashima Antlers vs. FC Mito Holly Hock) | 25¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashima-antlers-vs-fc-mito-holly-hock-draw-kashima-polymarket-0x701ae45ef836a011a58e97f75432565c982eabf04e31b4aaa37c9e77492adfa5 |
| Kashima Antlers | 57¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashima-antlers-vs-fc-mito-holly-hock-kashima-antl-polymarket-0xda16f5f99ab000e90be082a66bf91d4760d73eea2dac3b46cced139158573b65 |
| Kawasaki Frontale (-2.5) | 14¢ | −4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kawasaki-frontale-vs-tky-verdy-more-markets-kawasa-polymarket-0x3c1aa9a80edc6b086428b47577745380ec14a6a5fc83d1baf4197ee6a305576e |
| O/U 3.5 | 24¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kawasaki-frontale-vs-tky-verdy-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0x85c5f0f7fd8dae6799a49dc23c05f129ce5dfb750790fedcfa75721598507cdb |
| O/U 4.5 | 13¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-tky-vs-jef-united-ichihara-chiba-more-markets-o-polymarket-0x371c76e1be96a44ed1b3fe9c187813b39f4ab0a2d3630296cbe029302669f813 |
| FC Tōkyō (-1.5) | 38¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-tky-vs-jef-united-ichihara-chiba-more-markets-f-polymarket-0x3724ce935c950bdee92ab9a7bccf463e09268169716ba78066ecb90f53e98650 |
| Both Teams to Score | 59¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kawasaki-frontale-vs-tky-verdy-more-markets-both-t-polymarket-0x635cbd45d09e8508967adabadf4b446a1cc0ab5162c74cdcf3b11c617cd04f96 |
| JEF United Ichihara Chiba (-1.5) | 11¢ | +10pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-tky-vs-jef-united-ichihara-chiba-more-markets-j-polymarket-0x6d4f0c510ebcdb69b7b6b129d6e60732f25b99d1f0574ff58ee6df211ddb5c80 |
| JEF United Ichihara Chiba (-2.5) | 10¢ | +13pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-tky-vs-jef-united-ichihara-chiba-more-markets-j-polymarket-0x33b4f0281337c93203a6b95c5159b2753735d793dc2f6c3bfe1bc7f0ca28ef17 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 36 |
| 2026-05-02 | 29 |
| 2026-05-03 | 36 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · JEF United Ichihara Chiba (-2.5) +13pp 9→22¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · JEF United Ichihara Chiba (-1.5) +10pp 10→20¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Kashima Antlers (-2.5) +4pp 32→36¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Kawasaki Frontale (-2.5) −4pp 33→29¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · FC Mito Holly Hock (-2.5) +3pp 34→37¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/fc-tky-vs-fc-mito-holly-hock-more-markets-fc-mito-holly
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=fc-tky-vs-fc-mito-holly-hock-more-markets-fc-mito-holly

## License

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