# FC Universitario vs. Club Blooming - More Markets: FC Universitario (-2.5)

> Closed. Last odds frozen 4 d ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/fc-universitario-vs-club-blooming-more-markets-fc
Updated: 2026-05-05T00:20:27.258Z
Category: general
Status: historical
Closes: 2026-05-05

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 87%
- Runner-up: O/U 2.5 at 68%
- Outcomes: 9 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (9 contracts)
- 24h volume: $2K

## Bound contracts (9)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 87¢ | +3pp | $3 | polymarket | /markets/fc-universitario-vs-club-blooming-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0x76f121150e42337dfd34455e1d126d3985239f830432570c0b6ddd139b6346e0 |
| O/U 2.5 | 68¢ | +2pp | $41 | polymarket | /markets/fc-universitario-vs-club-blooming-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0x0c5253cb22a2a2659414645ab31c59a40b9d2aea285c4daa388ecb0daa55bc4c |
| Both Teams to Score | 68¢ | −3pp | $8 | polymarket | /markets/fc-universitario-vs-club-blooming-more-markets-bot-polymarket-0xff0eb91d5b4e8c77ab93ff927c30baf1c35fcfdb296411d18b02e43048fb84a9 |
| O/U 3.5 | 47¢ | −4pp | $251 | polymarket | /markets/fc-universitario-vs-club-blooming-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0x03594c3813c0272e680d1beed4739a220ca94ec886ae6618d71a31e08b13e6cd |
| FC Universitario (-1.5) | 31¢ | −1pp | $9 | polymarket | /markets/fc-universitario-vs-club-blooming-more-markets-fc-polymarket-0xcbd6353bbf2dda210c56851cf72e902e78d5b8ee864ac9223fa0ca45d63cd67f |
| O/U 4.5 | 28¢ | −1pp | $655 | polymarket | /markets/fc-universitario-vs-club-blooming-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0xaa517af265bf1c063cb941fc07a1e0f8d5ab42ba602afccc7eb888ab0d658799 |
| FC Universitario (-2.5) | 13¢ | ±0 | $1K | polymarket | /markets/fc-universitario-vs-club-blooming-more-markets-fc-polymarket-0x012ef07c0347afe8c36ce89c3777d8493e6455e3514a9f88e643d7c7b969d4b4 |
| Club Blooming (-1.5) | 11¢ | +5pp | $134 | polymarket | /markets/fc-universitario-vs-club-blooming-more-markets-clu-polymarket-0x56997f9da2850bc6e1942da4869c6dbe91be7528f7fbc4b7027664b11710947a |
| Club Blooming (-2.5) | 4¢ | +7pp | $2 | polymarket | /markets/fc-universitario-vs-club-blooming-more-markets-clu-polymarket-0xa2184bbe15a0582001f17546b3b8887e8027c43f16dea87909ec9985943aa349 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | O/U 1.5 | O/U 2.5 | Both Teams to Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 77 | 68 | 68 |
| 2026-05-02 | 81 | 67 | 66 |
| 2026-05-03 | 84 | 69 | 63 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Club Blooming (-2.5) +7pp 11→18¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Club Blooming (-1.5) +5pp 17→22¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · O/U 3.5 −4pp 34→30¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · O/U 1.5 +4pp 77→81¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Both Teams to Score −3pp 66→63¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This market reflects a 24% probability that FC Universitario will win their match against Club Blooming by more than 2.5 goals. The low probability suggests market participants expect either a close contest or a Blooming victory. The current price is driven primarily by limited trading volume and historical performance data between these teams. The resolution depends entirely on the final match outcome, which will be determined when FC Universitario and Club Blooming play their scheduled fixture. Key drivers include team form, head-to-head records, and whether either side has recent injuries or lineup changes that affect scoring potential.

### Key factors

- The market has recorded zero trading volume in the past 24 hours, indicating minimal recent price discovery or information flow
- The related Club Blooming (-1.5) contract trades at 16 cents, suggesting markets view Blooming as competitive or favored in a closer match
- The Over 3.5 goals contract trades at 31 cents while Over 2.5 trades at 68 cents, indicating markets expect total goals between 2-3
- Historical win margins between these teams and current season goal-scoring rates would determine whether a 2.5+ goal margin is typical
- The specific match date and kickoff time determine when this resolves; team roster availability and weather conditions closer to fixture day could shift expectations

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/fc-universitario-vs-club-blooming-more-markets-fc
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=fc-universitario-vs-club-blooming-more-markets-fc

## License

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