# FC Universitario vs. Club Blooming - More Markets

> Closed. Last odds frozen 3 d ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/fc-universitario-vs-club-blooming-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-06T00:50:43.618Z
Category: general
Status: historical
Closes: 2026-05-05

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 87%
- Runner-up: O/U 2.5 at 68%
- Outcomes: 9 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (9 contracts)
- 24h volume: $2K

## Bound contracts (9)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 87¢ | +3pp | $3 | polymarket | /markets/fc-universitario-vs-club-blooming-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0x76f121150e42337dfd34455e1d126d3985239f830432570c0b6ddd139b6346e0 |
| O/U 2.5 | 68¢ | +2pp | $41 | polymarket | /markets/fc-universitario-vs-club-blooming-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0x0c5253cb22a2a2659414645ab31c59a40b9d2aea285c4daa388ecb0daa55bc4c |
| Both Teams to Score | 68¢ | −3pp | $8 | polymarket | /markets/fc-universitario-vs-club-blooming-more-markets-bot-polymarket-0xff0eb91d5b4e8c77ab93ff927c30baf1c35fcfdb296411d18b02e43048fb84a9 |
| O/U 3.5 | 47¢ | −4pp | $251 | polymarket | /markets/fc-universitario-vs-club-blooming-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0x03594c3813c0272e680d1beed4739a220ca94ec886ae6618d71a31e08b13e6cd |
| FC Universitario (-1.5) | 31¢ | −1pp | $9 | polymarket | /markets/fc-universitario-vs-club-blooming-more-markets-fc-polymarket-0xcbd6353bbf2dda210c56851cf72e902e78d5b8ee864ac9223fa0ca45d63cd67f |
| O/U 4.5 | 28¢ | −1pp | $655 | polymarket | /markets/fc-universitario-vs-club-blooming-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0xaa517af265bf1c063cb941fc07a1e0f8d5ab42ba602afccc7eb888ab0d658799 |
| FC Universitario (-2.5) | 13¢ | ±0 | $1K | polymarket | /markets/fc-universitario-vs-club-blooming-more-markets-fc-polymarket-0x012ef07c0347afe8c36ce89c3777d8493e6455e3514a9f88e643d7c7b969d4b4 |
| Club Blooming (-1.5) | 11¢ | +5pp | $134 | polymarket | /markets/fc-universitario-vs-club-blooming-more-markets-clu-polymarket-0x56997f9da2850bc6e1942da4869c6dbe91be7528f7fbc4b7027664b11710947a |
| Club Blooming (-2.5) | 4¢ | +7pp | $2 | polymarket | /markets/fc-universitario-vs-club-blooming-more-markets-clu-polymarket-0xa2184bbe15a0582001f17546b3b8887e8027c43f16dea87909ec9985943aa349 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | O/U 1.5 | O/U 2.5 | Both Teams to Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 77 | 68 | 68 |
| 2026-05-02 | 81 | 67 | 66 |
| 2026-05-03 | 84 | 69 | 63 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Club Blooming (-2.5) +7pp 11→18¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Club Blooming (-1.5) +5pp 17→22¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · O/U 3.5 −4pp 34→30¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · O/U 1.5 +4pp 77→81¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Both Teams to Score −3pp 66→63¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

The 63% probability indicates market participants assess FC Universitario as the favorite to win this matchup against Club Blooming, though the outcome remains uncertain. This lean toward Universitario reflects typical home-field advantages and relative team strength in South American football, factors that traders weigh when pricing winner-take-all contracts. The lack of trading volume across contracts suggests limited market interest or recent settlement. Key drivers of probability movement would include team injuries, recent performance streaks, or head-to-head historical records between these clubs. Resolution will occur when the match concludes and the final result determines which contract settles to $1.00 and others to zero.

### Key factors

- FC Universitario priced as favorite at 63% versus Club Blooming at 16%, with 21% allocated to draw/other outcomes
- Zero 24-hour volume across all three contracts indicates minimal recent trading activity or market conviction shifts
- Spread contracts show Universitario at -2.5 and -1.5, with under 2.5 goals at 68¢ suggesting expectation of defensive or low-scoring match
- Contract pricing lacks arbitrage across platforms beyond Polymarket, limiting evidence of efficient price discovery
- Match outcome depends on team lineups, weather conditions, and tactical matchups on game day

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/fc-universitario-vs-club-blooming-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=fc-universitario-vs-club-blooming-more-markets

## License

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