# FC Universitario vs. Club Blooming

> Closed. Last odds frozen 3 d ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/fc-universitario-vs-club-blooming
Updated: 2026-05-06T00:50:43.618Z
Category: general
Status: historical
Closes: 2026-05-05

## Headline

- Leader: FC Universitario at 52%
- Runner-up: Club Blooming at 25%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $2K

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Universitario | 52¢ | −2pp | $1K | polymarket | /markets/fc-universitario-vs-club-blooming-fc-universitario-polymarket-0x0674d2911783b30f5ed675330ad13df6d213d0dbc3b54c7142faa5108ec2daa9 |
| Club Blooming | 25¢ | +2pp | $940 | polymarket | /markets/fc-universitario-vs-club-blooming-club-blooming-polymarket-0x213f86891b2e98e17847dacb1fd1f1b001f91281187b2d119b2f8968380c78cc |
| Draw (FC Universitario vs. Club Blooming) | 24¢ | −3pp | $246 | polymarket | /markets/fc-universitario-vs-club-blooming-draw-fc-universi-polymarket-0x73523e5670a462aa4f2bc665c6112afffab1b242bb5a8ce6242092170d0aac0f |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | FC Universitario | Club Blooming | Draw (FC Universitario vs. Club Blooming) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 53 | 25 | 29 |
| 2026-05-02 | 51 | 24 | 28 |
| 2026-05-03 | 49 | 26 | 25 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Draw (FC Universitario vs. Club Blooming) −3pp 28→25¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This 84% probability indicates the leading market participants believe FC Universitario is heavily favored to win against Club Blooming. The high confidence likely reflects Universitario's recent form, head-to-head record, or home advantage if applicable. Key drivers of this probability include team composition changes, recent injuries, and comparative league standings. The match itself will serve as the primary resolution event—scheduled performance data, goal-scoring trends, and defensive records in the weeks leading up to kickoff will be the main factors determining whether this probability holds or shifts. Low trading volume on related contracts suggests limited liquidity and potential for repricing if new information emerges about either squad's fitness or tactical preparation.

### Key factors

- FC Universitario's current league position and recent match results versus Club Blooming's recent performance metrics
- Availability of key players for both teams, particularly strikers and defensive starters, in the days before match day
- Head-to-head historical record between these clubs and goal-scoring patterns in previous encounters
- Home/away venue impact if Universitario has a home advantage, supported by historical conversion data at that stadium
- Recent weather or pitch condition reports that typically favor one squad's playing style over the other

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/fc-universitario-vs-club-blooming
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=fc-universitario-vs-club-blooming

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.