# Will Lil Uzi Vert be featured on Trippie Red's next album

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 31% across 19 contracts — refreshed 51 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/featuretrippiered
Updated: 2026-06-08T05:20:10.123Z
Category: entertainment
Status: active
Closes: 2027-01-01

## Headline

- Probability: 31% (liquidity-weighted across 19 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (19 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (19)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Playboi Carti | 17¢ | +9pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-playboi-carti-be-featured-on-trippie-reds-nex-kalshi-kxfeaturetrippiered-27-pla |
| Lil Uzi Vert | 13¢ | +3pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-lil-uzi-vert-be-featured-on-trippie-reds-next-kalshi-kxfeaturetrippiered-27-uzi |
| Travis Scott | 13¢ | +3pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-travis-scott-be-featured-on-trippie-reds-next-kalshi-kxfeaturetrippiered-27-tra |
| Young Thug | 78¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-young-thug-be-featured-on-trippie-reds-next-a-kalshi-kxfeaturetrippiered-27-you |
| Future | 4¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-future-be-featured-on-trippie-reds-next-album-kalshi-kxfeaturetrippiered-27-fut |
| Yeat | 23¢ | +6pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-yeat-be-featured-on-trippie-reds-next-album-y-kalshi-kxfeaturetrippiered-27-yea |
| The Weeknd | 4¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-weeknd-be-featured-on-trippie-reds-next-a-kalshi-kxfeaturetrippiered-27-wee |
| 21 Savage | 5¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-21-savage-be-featured-on-trippie-reds-next-al-kalshi-kxfeaturetrippiered-27-21s |
| Drake | 3¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-drake-be-featured-on-trippie-reds-next-album-kalshi-kxfeaturetrippiered-27-dra |
| Sexyy Red | 65¢ | −4pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-sexyy-red-be-featured-on-trippie-reds-next-al-kalshi-kxfeaturetrippiered-27-sex |
| Ski Mask The Slump God | 68¢ | +6pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-ski-mask-the-slump-god-be-featured-on-trippie-kalshi-kxfeaturetrippiered-27-ski |
| BigXThaPlug | 56¢ | +49pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-bigxthaplug-be-featured-on-trippie-reds-next-kalshi-kxfeaturetrippiered-27-big |
| Rema | 41¢ | +11pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-rema-be-featured-on-trippie-reds-next-album-r-kalshi-kxfeaturetrippiered-27-rem |
| Quavo | 75¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-quavo-be-featured-on-trippie-reds-next-album-kalshi-kxfeaturetrippiered-27-qua |
| Kodak Black | 42¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-kodak-black-be-featured-on-trippie-reds-next-kalshi-kxfeaturetrippiered-27-kod |
| Key Glock | 4¢ | +3pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-key-glock-be-featured-on-trippie-reds-next-al-kalshi-kxfeaturetrippiered-27-key |
| GloRilla | 28¢ | −1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-glorilla-be-featured-on-trippie-reds-next-alb-kalshi-kxfeaturetrippiered-27-glo |
| Lil Wayne | 40¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-lil-wayne-be-featured-on-trippie-reds-next-al-kalshi-kxfeaturetrippiered-27-way |
| Chris Brown | 4¢ | +3pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-chris-brown-be-featured-on-trippie-reds-next-kalshi-kxfeaturetrippiered-27-chr |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | 48 |
| 2026-05-25 | 14 |
| 2026-06-01 | 39 |
| 2026-06-08 | 78 |

_31 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-06-02 · Sexyy Red +16pp 52→68¢ · kalshi
- 2026-06-01 · GloRilla +11pp 18→29¢ · kalshi
- 2026-06-03 · Playboi Carti +9pp 8→17¢ · kalshi
- 2026-06-06 · Sexyy Red −4pp 69→65¢ · kalshi
- 2026-06-03 · Kodak Black −3pp 46→43¢ · kalshi

## Analysis

This market estimates the odds that Lil Uzi Vert will appear as a featured artist on Trippie Red's forthcoming album. The current 43% probability reflects moderate uncertainty, with a significant disagreement between markets: Kalshi traders price the feature at 40%, while Polymarket's single contract suggests 94%. The gap likely stems from limited Polymarket liquidity and different trader bases. Historical context matters here—both rappers have collaborated before and operate in overlapping circles, but album features depend on recorded deals already struck, artist scheduling, and label release plans. The primary catalyst is the album's actual release, which would definitively resolve the question. Until then, the market primarily reflects traders' assessments of their past collaboration patterns and current industry positioning rather than new public information.

### Key factors

- Kalshi shows 19 contracts with 40% average versus Polymarket's single contract at 94%, indicating limited consensus and potential mispricing on lower-liquidity venue
- Trippie Red's previous albums have included 8-15 featured artists, establishing a baseline for feature frequency but not predicting specific collaborators
- Lil Uzi Vert and Trippie Red have collaborated before (e.g., 2018), suggesting mutual professional relationships but not guaranteeing future work
- Neither artist has publicly announced album release dates, featured artists, or tracklists as of May 2026, leaving traders relying on historical patterns
- The market's resolution depends entirely on Trippie Red's next album release, making it binary rather than probabilistic once the album is published

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/featuretrippiered
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=featuretrippiered

## License

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