# Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic party before Jun 1, 2026

> Closed. Last odds frozen 21 h ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/fettermanswitch
Updated: 2026-05-08T06:35:30.952Z
Category: politics · Topic: election-2026
Status: historical
Closes: 2026-08-01

## Headline

- Leader: Before Aug 1, 2026 at 16%
- Runner-up: Before Jul 1, 2026 at 7%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $8K

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Aug 1, 2026 | 16¢ | — | $4K | kalshi | /markets/will-john-fetterman-leave-the-democratic-party-bef-kalshi-kxfettermanswitch-26may-aug01 |
| Before Jul 1, 2026 | 7¢ | — | $2K | kalshi | /markets/will-john-fetterman-leave-the-democratic-party-bef-kalshi-kxfettermanswitch-26may-jul01 |
| Before Jun 1, 2026 | 5¢ | — | $2K | kalshi | /markets/will-john-fetterman-leave-the-democratic-party-bef-kalshi-kxfettermanswitch-26may-jun01 |

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/fettermanswitch
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=fettermanswitch
- Topic hub: https://simplefunctions.dev/predictions/election-2026

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.