# FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Molde FK - More Markets

> Closed. Last odds frozen 3 d ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/fk-bodglimt-vs-molde-fk-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-05T18:50:36.705Z
Category: general
Status: historical
Closes: 2026-05-04

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 91%
- Runner-up: O/U 2.5 at 75%
- Outcomes: 9 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (9 contracts)
- 24h volume: $646

## Bound contracts (9)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 91¢ | +6pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fk-bodglimt-vs-molde-fk-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0x9d9b180599d5368c1129158e8a9f7c0f6586c918ccde691fab350935161bae7c |
| O/U 2.5 | 75¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fk-bodglimt-vs-molde-fk-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0x27b4e7e9bbe0da233091783d8c72d1eeb89f4ab313c73abfb2b8cbf610eaa7ed |
| Both Teams to Score | 62¢ | ±0 | $7 | polymarket | /markets/fk-bodglimt-vs-molde-fk-more-markets-both-teams-to-polymarket-0x935aefc8fe925277b1c75357b4d8b7acd7b9026df0d67c3e43d676b84e63c561 |
| O/U 3.5 | 54¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fk-bodglimt-vs-molde-fk-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0x85b3e4c6dce14f890305a593c31809762755b5292262ddf241ef302afafd0fa1 |
| FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5) | 52¢ | ±0 | $94 | polymarket | /markets/fk-bodglimt-vs-molde-fk-more-markets-fk-bodglimt-1-polymarket-0x879d113aeafd2b7a7162ce786d626c812b0279d9c74ee8e411c2981c6c0c150c |
| FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5) | 33¢ | −1pp | $500 | polymarket | /markets/fk-bodglimt-vs-molde-fk-more-markets-fk-bodglimt-2-polymarket-0x5283a21a15ec521f4337c8e4f501631b4d19582611acba8a1b641466f279dc97 |
| O/U 4.5 | 33¢ | ±0 | $46 | polymarket | /markets/fk-bodglimt-vs-molde-fk-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0xbba59ee557785dccaa38616ad7638693b68b386142b323e99c15799a1ec56533 |
| Molde FK (-2.5) | 9¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fk-bodglimt-vs-molde-fk-more-markets-molde-fk-25-polymarket-0x89b8dde2cd62c99ee998fa2678d0a74dcf6a5595db966b01e3095a980f670d69 |
| Molde FK (-1.5) | 5¢ | −4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fk-bodglimt-vs-molde-fk-more-markets-molde-fk-15-polymarket-0x8e7ca6cc6a708cc573037cadab9106f52e03fb9c3ac52036fff27a161e363a88 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | O/U 1.5 | O/U 2.5 | Both Teams to Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 84 | 73 | 61 |
| 2026-05-02 | 90 | 73 | 63 |
| 2026-05-03 | — | 74 | 63 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · O/U 1.5 +6pp 84→90¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Molde FK (-1.5) −4pp 10→6¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Molde FK (-1.5) −3pp 13→10¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

The 90% probability indicates markets are pricing FK Bodø/Glimt as a strong favorite in this matchup, reflecting the team's recent form and home advantage in Norwegian football. This assessment is driven by Bodø/Glimt's consistent performance in the Eliteserien and the relative strength differential between the two clubs. The primary catalyst is the actual match result, which will definitively resolve whether Bodø/Glimt wins or the market mispriced the contest. Contract fragmentation across multiple spread levels (-1.5, -2.5) and modest trading volume ($110-$327 across top contracts) suggests limited liquidity, meaning the 90% figure reflects concentrated positioning rather than deep consensus pricing.

### Key factors

- FK Bodø/Glimt's recent league position, points total, and win rate relative to Molde FK in the current Eliteserien season
- Home-field advantage at Aspmyra Stadium and recent head-to-head record between these clubs
- Injury reports or roster availability for key players on either side affecting match quality
- Molde FK's form trajectory and whether the team is experiencing an upswing that could narrow the odds
- Contract pricing fragmentation across spread levels (-1.5 vs -2.5) indicating disagreement among traders on the margin of victory

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/fk-bodglimt-vs-molde-fk-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=fk-bodglimt-vs-molde-fk-more-markets

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