# FK Železiarne Podbrezová vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava - More Markets: FK Železiarne Podbrezová (-1.5)

> O/U 1.5 leads at 82%, runner-up 63% across 9 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 7 h ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/fk-eleziarne-podbrezov-vs-k-slovan-bratislava-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-09T00:05:10.773Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-09

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 82%
- Runner-up: Both Teams to Score at 63%
- Outcomes: 9 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (9 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (9)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 82¢ | +12pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fk-eleziarne-podbrezov-vs-k-slovan-bratislava-more-polymarket-0xbe6cd532648ea384bf2ebc4d585170763bcedc0f3751742eac0a1b472aafbc0f |
| Both Teams to Score | 63¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fk-eleziarne-podbrezov-vs-k-slovan-bratislava-more-polymarket-0xcac0b35087db3d5edf13a7e24700c976a37284bce48ee99889de3181338c881f |
| O/U 2.5 | 61¢ | +8pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fk-eleziarne-podbrezov-vs-k-slovan-bratislava-more-polymarket-0x960ac08ba6cfe73c758dec380b328c5fc9fd6318fe4911dfc496323f9cac25f6 |
| O/U 3.5 | 39¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fk-eleziarne-podbrezov-vs-k-slovan-bratislava-more-polymarket-0xce3be877fa2ce1e664d68ea68ab0bcf2d0baf9baa84e567a03b07dac6e6f2c96 |
| ŠK Slovan Bratislava (-1.5) | 27¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fk-eleziarne-podbrezov-vs-k-slovan-bratislava-more-polymarket-0x4f0598946d9528604fa9606263f7d815fbd5ac8564726b96fc09758f170d03e8 |
| O/U 4.5 | 21¢ | −3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fk-eleziarne-podbrezov-vs-k-slovan-bratislava-more-polymarket-0x3135b9183e46c8970db8a86d80d238745cb7a290a42ddccbfc6c108b057430b8 |
| FK Železiarne Podbrezová (-1.5) | 11¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fk-eleziarne-podbrezov-vs-k-slovan-bratislava-more-polymarket-0x6f28385fa8d63f1a43cea12191dec493aa5ed8919d63bab4ac4a54b017517353 |
| ŠK Slovan Bratislava (-2.5) | 9¢ | +6pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fk-eleziarne-podbrezov-vs-k-slovan-bratislava-more-polymarket-0xc017cd8b7a519a173f976cc8643a67a623f0f49a1cca7ebaf68e52e918f30c56 |
| FK Železiarne Podbrezová (-2.5) | 4¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fk-eleziarne-podbrezov-vs-k-slovan-bratislava-more-polymarket-0x5f10f2c3dea5372c291c74ece916af5027bef42a8543a5939b3cd479f52b2b25 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | O/U 1.5 | Both Teams to Score | O/U 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 72 | 53 | 54 |
| 2026-05-08 | — | 63 | — |
| 2026-05-09 | 84 | 64 | 62 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-09 · O/U 1.5 +12pp 72→84¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-08 · Both Teams to Score +10pp 53→63¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-08 · ŠK Slovan Bratislava (-2.5) −9pp 22→13¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-07 · FK Železiarne Podbrezová (-1.5) −8pp 27→19¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-09 · O/U 2.5 +8pp 54→62¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This market reflects a strong expectation that FK Železiarne Podbrezová will win by more than 1.5 goals against ŠK Slovan Bratislava, priced at 81% probability. The high probability reflects Podbrezová's perceived offensive strength or Bratislava's defensive vulnerability in this specific matchup. The pricing could shift if injury reports, recent form changes, or head-to-head history suggest a tighter contest than current odds imply. Resolution depends on the final match result, likely occurring within the next few weeks of the 2026 Slovak football calendar. Low trading volume across contracts indicates limited recent market activity, so prices may not reflect the most current information.

### Key factors

- FK Železiarne Podbrezová's goal-scoring record and attacking efficiency compared to their opponent's defensive record this season
- ŠK Slovan Bratislava's recent form and availability of key players, particularly defenders, heading into this fixture
- Historical head-to-head results between these teams, including goal differentials in previous meetings
- The venue (home or away status for Podbrezová) and any related home-field advantage patterns for either team
- Polymarket contract liquidity remains near zero across all outcomes, suggesting limited arbitrage activity and potential price stickiness despite market moves

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/fk-eleziarne-podbrezov-vs-k-slovan-bratislava-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=fk-eleziarne-podbrezov-vs-k-slovan-bratislava-more-markets

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