# Fluminense FC vs. EC Vitória - More Markets

> O/U 1.5 leads at 72%, runner-up 47% across 8 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 4 h ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/fluminense-fc-vs-ec-vitria-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-09T00:05:12.508Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-09

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 72%
- Runner-up: O/U 2.5 at 47%
- Outcomes: 8 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (8 contracts)
- 24h volume: $283

## Bound contracts (8)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 72¢ | ±0 | $8 | polymarket | /markets/fluminense-fc-vs-ec-vitria-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0xb926a12ed69cdad2a0158f319731667b62a0612ad721c6d6b4d90ae28f1522cd |
| O/U 2.5 | 47¢ | ±0 | $24 | polymarket | /markets/fluminense-fc-vs-ec-vitria-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0xac9ce4d710dc90bd1b0770d4379390dedd20f1a720d6e7063f6b675f6d123239 |
| Both Teams to Score | 44¢ | ±0 | $33 | polymarket | /markets/fluminense-fc-vs-ec-vitria-more-markets-both-teams-polymarket-0xe50f6b9b67b5c4e7199485e6d4babd197bac1c1b414fb127695c7b1f67b64112 |
| Fluminense FC (-1.5) | 38¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fluminense-fc-vs-ec-vitria-more-markets-fluminense-polymarket-0xfd97adbfb5a5d8175c44f0a4530fbe95eb67328589aa97f8d08fa4fddb7382f2 |
| O/U 3.5 | 25¢ | ±0 | $25 | polymarket | /markets/fluminense-fc-vs-ec-vitria-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0x45c07149e6d7fe439d55fb4726a8f3e87ddb86492cc035cc9c015040bc51ebe6 |
| Fluminense FC (-2.5) | 17¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fluminense-fc-vs-ec-vitria-more-markets-fluminense-polymarket-0x4e5079ab6a875aaac2acd8047bf0221e200481df35494c22b5ab297557591f16 |
| O/U 4.5 | 12¢ | −1pp | $193 | polymarket | /markets/fluminense-fc-vs-ec-vitria-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0x7103091eda2f5caa7b4d7555e4dc86124573a05495d560a84910d77e10877a65 |
| EC Vitória (-1.5) | 3¢ | −2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fluminense-fc-vs-ec-vitria-more-markets-ec-vitria-polymarket-0x529b95fa3395c0bbf0c792dcdf4d9ce7c7009be111ada1358d80e527fa516917 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | O/U 1.5 | O/U 2.5 | Both Teams to Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 73 | 47 | 44 |
| 2026-05-07 | 73 | 47 | 45 |
| 2026-05-08 | 73 | — | 45 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Analysis

This probability reflects market expectations that both Fluminense FC and EC Vitória will score in their upcoming match. At 44%, the market estimates this outcome slightly favors the alternative (either team not scoring or one team shutting out the other). The likelihood depends on recent offensive and defensive form from both teams, including injury status and lineup availability. Weather conditions and the match venue may also influence scoring patterns. The primary uncertainty resolves when the match concludes; the specific date of play determines when this question settles.

### Key factors

- Fluminense FC's recent goal-scoring rate per match over the last 5-10 games compared to EC Vitória's defensive record
- EC Vitória's offensive output and conversion efficiency against Fluminense FC's recent defensive performance (clean sheets, goals conceded)
- Historical head-to-head scoring patterns between these teams, particularly whether their matchups tend toward high or low-scoring outcomes
- Confirmed squad availability and injuries for both teams, especially starting strikers and defensive key players
- Match venue and weather forecast on game day, as conditions can influence both teams' ability to execute offensive plays

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/fluminense-fc-vs-ec-vitria-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=fluminense-fc-vs-ec-vitria-more-markets

## License

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