# Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC

> Fujieda MYFC leads at 49%, runner-up 36% across 3 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 7 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/fujieda-myfc-vs-fukushima-united-fc
Updated: 2026-05-03T14:20:23.157Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-06

## Headline

- Leader: Fujieda MYFC at 49%
- Runner-up: Fukushima United FC at 36%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fujieda MYFC | 49¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fujieda-myfc-vs-fukushima-united-fc-fujieda-myfc-polymarket-0x4bfcf94328459f9b96e5b319c36383116420f7fde0a3adb131bfe62a9e1fc395 |
| Fukushima United FC | 36¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fujieda-myfc-vs-fukushima-united-fc-fukushima-unit-polymarket-0x19ecdc51afb427b5b6d277bfec4aa09a62e3060e8eeba72263f639b2485d09ff |
| Draw (Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC) | 35¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fujieda-myfc-vs-fukushima-united-fc-draw-fujieda-m-polymarket-0xfd9ea43e4394efe2057eddcc7e48be723d3db827eb8acb68f99211e5a52cf2dc |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Fujieda MYFC | Fukushima United FC | Draw (Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | 46 | 40 | 40 |
| 2026-05-03 | 48 | — | 40 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Analysis

This probability reflects market expectations for a Japanese football match between Fujieda MYFC and Fukushima United FC. At 48%, the leading contract indicates near-parity between the favorite and second-place outcome, with meaningful divergence from that top estimate (40% runner-up) suggesting uncertainty about which team prevails. The probability reflects recent form, head-to-head history, and home-field advantages in Japanese league play. The match outcome will resolve directly when the game concludes, eliminating all remaining uncertainty. Market depth remains relatively shallow based on aggregated contract volumes, meaning significant new information about team injuries, weather, or late-season positioning could shift probabilities noticeably.

### Key factors

- Match date and kickoff time determine resolution window; delays or postponements would extend uncertainty
- Current league standings and points differential between teams affect baseline competitive positioning
- Historical head-to-head records and goal-scoring patterns influence win probability distribution
- Injury status of key players or roster changes announced before match day could shift market expectations
- Home field advantage factor and travel fatigue for the visiting team

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/fujieda-myfc-vs-fukushima-united-fc
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=fujieda-myfc-vs-fukushima-united-fc

## License

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