# Fukushima United FC vs. Júbilo Iwata - More Markets

> O/U 1.5 leads at 66%, runner-up 51% across 9 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 8 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/fukushima-united-fc-vs-jbilo-iwata-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-09T05:50:43.241Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-10

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 66%
- Runner-up: Both Teams to Score at 51%
- Outcomes: 9 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (9 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (9)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 66¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fukushima-united-fc-vs-jbilo-iwata-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0x0a9592047d6c6e1ad3f597542f3b807690aeeefe998e65e4e8a0fa6b8c4a7e0e |
| Both Teams to Score | 51¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fukushima-united-fc-vs-jbilo-iwata-more-markets-bo-polymarket-0xf273e5a90570d66ee84d9e0ad0f005f01602e45e4d449e066663abbf4579ec2d |
| O/U 2.5 | 50¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fukushima-united-fc-vs-jbilo-iwata-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0x0e728e59a23add211ed78fd5cb1790fa694aaac6a6ef4fe243325792fad4dd7f |
| O/U 3.5 | 36¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fukushima-united-fc-vs-jbilo-iwata-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0x0cad8242bc6ef6ce74862bf1a595fce9f821f5c7dd62441602785af1f5c0c2e1 |
| Júbilo Iwata (-2.5) | 34¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fukushima-united-fc-vs-jbilo-iwata-more-markets-jb-polymarket-0x8245f3c72f3293c367ad54e961dd1a2a5969c8d61d9d9512a48ab422770a2970 |
| Júbilo Iwata (-1.5) | 33¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fukushima-united-fc-vs-jbilo-iwata-more-markets-jb-polymarket-0xc20acb7bb2bcfff59bc72a757205004e0a2539bae4bf56767009fb7f8ce9ba56 |
| Fukushima United FC (-2.5) | 25¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fukushima-united-fc-vs-jbilo-iwata-more-markets-fu-polymarket-0xaec9542dee92d843c4e1ed75b7c0973ab4d0d9982faa03061e2c4d3800e9ed89 |
| Fukushima United FC (-1.5) | 22¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fukushima-united-fc-vs-jbilo-iwata-more-markets-fu-polymarket-0x055f7f1d2ce6ddaa8164f4c8035d9bf2a2a59ffaa844e40155c500c2b0c044f2 |
| O/U 4.5 | 10¢ | −12pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fukushima-united-fc-vs-jbilo-iwata-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0xbf470ffccc8d6cc323dfeec13b2cadc9a9564797343a88fd369586322f7af4ed |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | O/U 1.5 | Both Teams to Score | O/U 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 65 | 51 | 52 |
| 2026-05-07 | 65 | 50 | 51 |
| 2026-05-08 | 65 | 50 | 51 |
| 2026-05-09 | — | 51 | 52 |

_4 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-08 · O/U 4.5 −12pp 22→10¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-08 · Júbilo Iwata (-1.5) −3pp 33→30¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-07 · O/U 4.5 −3pp 25→22¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This market measures the probability that both Fukushima United FC and Júbilo Iwata will each score at least one goal in their matchup. The 52% probability reflects an expectation slightly favoring a goal from both sides over a match featuring at least one shutout. Pricing is driven by the offensive and defensive capabilities of both J-League clubs, their recent form, injury status, and historical head-to-head performance. The match outcome will be determined when the final whistle sounds and the official score is recorded. Resolution depends entirely on whether both teams find the net during regulation play.

### Key factors

- Recent goal-scoring rates and defensive records for both Fukushima United FC and Júbilo Iwata in their last 5-10 J-League matches
- Current player availability, particularly key strikers or defensive players, due to injury or suspension for either team
- Historical head-to-head scoring patterns between these two clubs in previous league encounters
- Fukushima's home/away status and Júbilo Iwata's performance in similar conditions this season
- Match importance (regular season, playoff implications, or other context) that may influence attacking vs. defensive tactics

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/fukushima-united-fc-vs-jbilo-iwata-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=fukushima-united-fc-vs-jbilo-iwata-more-markets

## License

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