# Fukushima United FC vs. RB Ōmiya Ardija - More Markets: RB Ōmiya Ardija (-1.5)

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 38% across 20 contracts — refreshed 9 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/fukushima-united-fc-vs-rb-miya-ardija-more-markets-rb-miya
Updated: 2026-05-03T16:05:48.236Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-03

## Headline

- Probability: 38% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $40

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 3.5 | 24¢ | −1pp | $29 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc-more-polymarket-0x5d58f60bcef71fbea32cd17317002ed65fef80adb99080b2bf49aa94cf71ee3d |
| Incheon United FC (-2.5) | 5¢ | +1pp | $11 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc-more-polymarket-0x4ce71d662883de795b58a84a72031b1561a1c077297aabf78b6b2e3baf43a7ed |
| O/U 4.5 | 29¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/rb-miya-ardija-vs-iwaki-fc-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0x728f8967cf1e0065a59bf43f57b413130be54ee94dc766ada39d7a51d48d870a |
| O/U 2.5 | 52¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/rb-miya-ardija-vs-iwaki-fc-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0xfacf329d071c71c0e621aed92f7ea6d51f4dbb6808a0c19a37af16394b50cc9f |
| Fukushima United FC (-2.5) | 35¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fujieda-myfc-vs-fukushima-united-fc-more-markets-f-polymarket-0xa28785ed92e4f5f80469a41251035e0a5070ec3bee325b6c68a7fcfffe9800f2 |
| O/U 3.5 | 37¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/rb-miya-ardija-vs-iwaki-fc-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0x0f34a8315d776c3b376c264aee10351756fca5d7c1f06a873e29573e143d10f8 |
| O/U 1.5 | 65¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fujieda-myfc-vs-fukushima-united-fc-more-markets-o-polymarket-0xa8928329836b5c5d6204f9ff1dab586ed4f5a10b68c3e8d0197dcfb7dd0043b3 |
| RB Ōmiya Ardija (-1.5) | 33¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/rb-miya-ardija-vs-iwaki-fc-more-markets-rb-miya-ar-polymarket-0xe2879d9fbfb8ffdfcacb06244f7b469a2e0b78be928e96e7ba6e00f985234d3a |
| Iwaki FC (-2.5) | 34¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/rb-miya-ardija-vs-iwaki-fc-more-markets-iwaki-fc-2-polymarket-0x129775c572f0cf62732652b37b7a8fec962593b42b7d26e0ac29ef648cf5a1cd |
| Fukushima United FC (-1.5) | 33¢ | +5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fujieda-myfc-vs-fukushima-united-fc-more-markets-f-polymarket-0x37f47e700c3fca9d09d29e917fa33865d1d36e78ab220205158c040a782519c3 |
| O/U 2.5 | 50¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fujieda-myfc-vs-fukushima-united-fc-more-markets-o-polymarket-0x799b4127a82931bf9daf48211943e47b260b95de63fb22de6bed85cd69a0e88e |
| Both Teams to Score | 48¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fujieda-myfc-vs-fukushima-united-fc-more-markets-b-polymarket-0x2c9b2c177c59e71ec645a3e8f9aa0615fe7006817ec471b7ad0c04d9217af16e |
| Both Teams to Score | 51¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/rb-miya-ardija-vs-iwaki-fc-more-markets-both-teams-polymarket-0xbb1f4e3c06abdaa9d6894e713107909cf902aab12c5482f14d1ba3112844b486 |
| O/U 4.5 | 29¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fujieda-myfc-vs-fukushima-united-fc-more-markets-o-polymarket-0xe281bebf883174950005c88d94614922a1d58445e2fd7f8582f73a1eb3b9c04a |
| Fujieda MYFC (-2.5) | 28¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fujieda-myfc-vs-fukushima-united-fc-more-markets-f-polymarket-0x5720644d6de3d853f17d98b3f540ed7400047e5395f9b25483cf2004fb004517 |
| Iwaki FC (-1.5) | 33¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/rb-miya-ardija-vs-iwaki-fc-more-markets-iwaki-fc-1-polymarket-0x3783e682e06b1fb18c4edb552ef8009029daa4f54c6b0825698c751b4e6bbf0a |
| O/U 1.5 | 65¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/rb-miya-ardija-vs-iwaki-fc-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0x2195c5941536ecd4f1e6519856fc7eda857cc66864574a9f6c796a0fa6c848b0 |
| Fujieda MYFC (-1.5) | 32¢ | −2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fujieda-myfc-vs-fukushima-united-fc-more-markets-f-polymarket-0xb2f97dd54209caf84e171256fe5d32ab62b45132bd16e70400225d48f8cc27c2 |
| O/U 3.5 | 41¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fujieda-myfc-vs-fukushima-united-fc-more-markets-o-polymarket-0xae2766d22cfd12afb304c7d9808f40f1e422bd74cf37fd95b22f2660775a6491 |
| RB Ōmiya Ardija (-2.5) | 33¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/rb-miya-ardija-vs-iwaki-fc-more-markets-rb-miya-ar-polymarket-0x8e56ccaf10780991a1cbf8bc446de44108e0b51ec36cca756c652d3564307711 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 35 |
| 2026-05-02 | 40 |
| 2026-05-03 | 40 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · Incheon United FC (-2.5) −17pp 35→18¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Fukushima United FC (-1.5) +5pp 33→38¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Fukushima United FC (-2.5) +3pp 35→38¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Iwaki FC (-1.5) +3pp 33→36¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/fukushima-united-fc-vs-rb-miya-ardija-more-markets-rb-miya
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=fukushima-united-fc-vs-rb-miya-ardija-more-markets-rb-miya

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.